/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F50%2Felclog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fatllog.png)
-
Agustin Alvarez
7'
-
Nicolas Fernandez
32'
-
John Nwankwo
34'
-
Nicolas Fernandez
50'
-
Alexander Sorloth
8'
-
Alexander Sorloth
29'
-
Rodrigo Riquelme
61'
-
Robin Le Normand
69'
-
Julian Alvarez
75'
Elche vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F50%2Fantoine-griezmann.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Elche had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result
Elche
33.37%
▼
(-0.63)
Draw
27.84%
▼
(-0.08)
Atletico Madrid
38.78%
▲
(+0.70)
Both Teams to Score:
48.03%
▲
(+0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5
42.15%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 2.5
57.84%
▼
(-0.19)
Over 3.5
21.43%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 3.5
78.57%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 4.5
9.17%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 4.5
90.83%
▼
(-0.09)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5
67.62%
▼
(-0.34)
Under 0.5
32.37%
▲
(+0.33)
Over 1.5
31.11%
▼
(-0.38)
Under 1.5
68.88%
▲
(+0.37)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
71.02%
▲
(+0.50)
Under 0.5
28.97%
▼
(-0.51)
Over 1.5
35.13%
▲
(+0.61)
Under 1.5
64.87%
▼
(-0.62)
Score analysis
Elche
33.37%
Draw
27.83%
Atletico Madrid
38.77%
Elche
1-0
@
10.57%
▼
(-0.17)
2-1 @ 7.39% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 5.97% ▼ (-0.15)
3-1 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 33.37%
2-1 @ 7.39% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 5.97% ▼ (-0.15)
3-1 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 33.37%
Draw
1-1
@
13.1%
▼
(-0.04)
0-0 @ 9.38% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 4.58% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.83%
0-0 @ 9.38% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 4.58% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.83%
Atletico Madrid
0-1
@
11.61%
▲
(+0.09)
1-2 @ 8.12% ▲ (+0.10)
0-2 @ 7.2% ▲ (+0.15)
1-3 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.11)
2-3 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.04% ▼ (-98.67)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 38.77%
1-2 @ 8.12% ▲ (+0.10)
0-2 @ 7.2% ▲ (+0.15)
1-3 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.11)
2-3 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.04% ▼ (-98.67)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 38.77%