Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Elche had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Elche	Draw	Atletico Madrid
33.37% ( -0.63)	27.84% ( -0.07)	38.78% ( 0.69)

Both teams to score 48.03% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.15% (

0.18)

57.84% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.43% (

0.14)

78.57% (

-0.15)

Elche Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.62% (

-0.33)

32.37% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.11% (

-0.38)

68.88% (

0.37)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.02% (

0.49)

28.97% (

-0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.13% (

0.61)

64.87% (

-0.62)

Score Analysis

Elche 33.37%

Atletico Madrid 38.77%

Draw 27.83%

Elche	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 33.37%	1-1 @ 13.1% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.83%	0-1 @ 11.61% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.68% Total : 38.77%