Elche
Copa del Rey | Round of 32
Jan 5, 2025 at 11am UK
Estadio Manuel Martinez Valero
Las Palmas

Elche
4 - 0
Las Palmas

Mendoza (44'), Affengruber (56'), Salinas (61'), Fernandez (71')
Febas (12'), Mendoza (37'), Salinas (51'), Bigas (65'), Guti (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Park (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Copa del Rey clash between Elche and Las Palmas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Elche

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Castellon 0-2 Elche
Sunday, December 22 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Las Palmas

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Las Palmas 1-0 Espanyol
Sunday, December 22 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 58.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 18.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.

Result
ElcheDrawLas Palmas
58.2% (0.502 0.5)23.14% (-0.25 -0.25)18.67% (-0.255 -0.26)
Both teams to score 49.09% (0.303 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.9% (0.631 0.63)50.1% (-0.634 -0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.93% (0.56 0.56)72.07% (-0.562 -0.56)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.06% (0.404 0.4)16.93% (-0.407 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.99% (0.714 0.71)47% (-0.718 -0.72)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.1% (0.076000000000001 0.08)40.9% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.54% (0.068000000000001 0.07)77.46% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Elche 58.19%
    Las Palmas 18.67%
    Draw 23.13%
ElcheDrawLas Palmas
1-0 @ 12.29% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-0 @ 10.92% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 6.46% (0.094 0.09)
3-1 @ 5.78% (0.097 0.1)
4-0 @ 2.87% (0.08 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.57% (0.076 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.036 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.02% (0.041 0.04)
5-1 @ 0.91% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 58.19%
1-1 @ 10.99% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 6.93% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-2 @ 4.37% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 23.13%
0-1 @ 6.19% (-0.147 -0.15)
1-2 @ 4.92% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.77% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.47% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.3% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 18.67%

How you voted: Elche vs Las Palmas

Elche
27.8%
Las Palmas
72.2%
18
Head to Head
Jun 27, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 36
Las Palmas
1-1
Elche
Castro (30')
Benito (35'), Mendes (88'), Pedri (90+1')
Cruz (39')
Gonzalo (31'), Fidel (54'), Calvo (71')
Dec 15, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 20
Elche
2-3
Las Palmas
Fidel (24' pen.), Josan (34')
Manolin (59'), Cruz (72'), Folch (82')
Benito (62'), Cruz (66' og.), Narvaez (73')
Mantovani (22')
Mar 31, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 32
Las Palmas
0-1
Elche

Cala (10'), Lemos (28'), Penalba (37'), Ruiz (38'), Artiles (54')
Castro (84')
Josan (19'), Azamoum (22'), Gil (63')
Nov 10, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 13
Elche
0-0
Las Palmas
Gonzalo (16'), Manolin (30'), Neyder (36'), Flores (73'), Blazquez Sanchez (87')
Deivid (38')
rhs 2.0


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