Leganes logo
Copa del Rey | Quarter-Finals
Feb 5, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Butarque
Real Madrid logo

Leganes
2 - 3
Real Madrid

Cruz (39' pen., 59')
Gonzalez (67')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Modric (18'), Endrick (25'), Garcia (90+3')
Ramon Naveros (79'), Junior (82'), Modric (87')

The Match

Match Report

Gonzalo Garcia's first Real Madrid goal sends Carlo Ancelotti's side into the semi-finals of the Copa del Rey on Wednesday evening.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Copa del Rey clash between Leganes and Real Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa del Rey clash between Leganes and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Leganes could line up for Wednesday's Copa del Rey quarter-final against Real Madrid.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole looks at Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their Copa del Rey clash with Leganes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leganes

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Leganes 0-1 Rayo Vallecano
Friday, January 31 at 8pm in La Liga

Real Madrid

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Espanyol 1-0 Real Madrid
Saturday, February 1 at 8pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 80.92%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 5.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.38%) and 0-1 (11.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.23%), while for a Leganes win it was 1-0 (2.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
LeganesDrawReal Madrid
5.91% (-0.205 -0.21)13.17% (-0.478 -0.48)80.92% (0.688 0.69)
Both teams to score 39.76% (0.512 0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.99% (1.432 1.43)39.01% (-1.427 -1.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.67% (1.489 1.49)61.33% (-1.483 -1.48)
Leganes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.99% (0.336 0.34)57.01% (-0.33199999999999 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.95% (0.191 0.19)89.05% (-0.18499999999999 -0.18)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.5% (0.47199999999999 0.47)7.5% (-0.4679 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.06% (1.202 1.2)26.94% (-1.196 -1.2)
Score Analysis
    Leganes 5.91%
    Real Madrid 80.91%
    Draw 13.17%
LeganesDrawReal Madrid
1-0 @ 2.4% (-0.138 -0.14)
2-1 @ 1.75% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 5.91%
1-1 @ 6.23% (-0.204 -0.2)
0-0 @ 4.28% (-0.293 -0.29)
2-2 @ 2.27% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 13.17%
0-2 @ 14.34% (-0.28 -0.28)
0-3 @ 12.38% (0.06 0.06)
0-1 @ 11.08% (-0.48 -0.48)
1-2 @ 8.06% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-4 @ 8.02% (0.223 0.22)
1-3 @ 6.96% (0.104 0.1)
1-4 @ 4.51% (0.171 0.17)
0-5 @ 4.15% (0.21 0.21)
1-5 @ 2.33% (0.141 0.14)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.049 0.05)
0-6 @ 1.79% (0.13 0.13)
2-4 @ 1.27% (0.061 0.06)
1-6 @ 1.01% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 80.91%

How you voted: Leganes vs Real Madrid

Leganes
15.1%
Draw
12.3%
Real Madrid
72.6%
212
Head to Head
Nov 24, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 14
Leganes
0-3
Real Madrid

de la Fuente (49'), Altimira (69')
Mbappe (43'), Valverde (66'), Bellingham (85')
> Match Report
Jul 19, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 38
Leganes
2-2
Real Madrid
> Preview
Oct 30, 2019 8.15pm
Gameweek 11
Real Madrid
5-0
Leganes
> Match Report
Apr 15, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 32
Leganes
1-1
Real Madrid
> Match Report
Jan 16, 2019 8.30pm
Round of 16
Leganes
1-0
Real Madrid
> Match Report
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!