Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 54.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 19.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.08%) and 1-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Espanyol win it was 1-0 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 19.93% ( | 25.2% ( | 54.87% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.21% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.67% ( | 56.33% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.64% ( | 77.36% ( |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.9% ( | 43.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.62% ( | 79.37% ( |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.46% ( | 20.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.95% ( | 53.05% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Espanyol | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 7.45% ( 2-1 @ 4.96% ( 2-0 @ 3.14% ( 3-1 @ 1.39% ( 3-2 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 1.88% Total : 19.93% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0-0 @ 8.85% ( 2-2 @ 3.93% ( Other @ 0.63% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 14.01% ( 0-2 @ 11.08% ( 1-2 @ 9.33% ( 0-3 @ 5.85% ( 1-3 @ 4.93% ( 0-4 @ 2.32% ( 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 1-4 @ 1.95% ( Other @ 3.32% Total : 54.86% |