La Liga
Gameweek
22
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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Frmilog.png)
-
Carlos Romero
61'
-
Carlos Romero
85'
-
Marash Kumbulla
90'
-
21'
Espanyol vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F05%2Fantonio-rudiger.jpg)
The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F05%2Fvinicius-junior.jpg)
Team News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F40%2Fdani-carvajal.jpg)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F04%2Fkylian-mbappe_2.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F01%2Fvinicius-junior.jpg)
Injuries & Suspensions
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F33%2Feduardo-camavinga.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 54.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 19.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.08%) and 1-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Espanyol win it was 1-0 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result
Espanyol
19.93%
▼
(-0.60)
Draw
25.2%
▼
(-0.06)
Real Madrid
54.87%
▲
(+0.65)
Both Teams to Score:
45.21%
▼
(-0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5
43.67%
▼
(-0.46)
Under 2.5
56.33%
▲
(+0.46)
Over 3.5
22.64%
▼
(-0.37)
Under 3.5
77.36%
▲
(+0.37)
Over 4.5
9.9%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 4.5
90.1%
▲
(+0.23)
Espanyol Goals
Over 0.5
56.9%
▼
(-0.92)
Under 0.5
43.1%
▲
(+0.92)
Over 1.5
20.62%
▼
(-0.79)
Under 1.5
79.37%
▲
(+0.79)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
79.46%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 0.5
20.54%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 1.5
46.95%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 1.5
53.05%
▼
(-0.13)
Score analysis
Espanyol
19.93%
Draw
25.2%
Real Madrid
54.86%
Espanyol
1-0
@
7.45%
▼
(-0.06)
2-1 @ 4.96% ▼ (-0.16)
2-0 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.11)
3-1 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 19.93%
2-1 @ 4.96% ▼ (-0.16)
2-0 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.11)
3-1 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 19.93%
Draw
1-1
@
11.79%
▼
(-0.07)
0-0 @ 8.85% ▲ (+0.16)
2-2 @ 3.93% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 25.2%
0-0 @ 8.85% ▲ (+0.16)
2-2 @ 3.93% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 25.2%
Real Madrid
0-1
@
14.01%
▲
(+0.28)
0-2 @ 11.08% ▲ (+0.25)
1-2 @ 9.33% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 5.85% ▲ (+0.15)
1-3 @ 4.93% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.06)
1-4 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 54.86%
0-2 @ 11.08% ▲ (+0.25)
1-2 @ 9.33% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 5.85% ▲ (+0.15)
1-3 @ 4.93% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.06)
1-4 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 54.86%
Head to Head
La Liga
Gameweek
6
-
Kylian Mbappe
32'
-
Dani Carvajal
58'
-
Federico Valverde
61'
-
Rodrygo
75'
-
Vinicius Junior
78'
-
Jude Bellingham
81'
-
Vinicius Junior
82'
-
Kylian Mbappe
90'
-
Pol Lozano
10'
-
Thibaut Courtois
54'
(OG)
-
Joan Garcia
74'
-
Carlos Romero
88'
La Liga
Gameweek
25
-
Vinicius Junior
22'
-
Eder Militao
39'
-
Marco Asensio
90'+3'
-
Joselu
8'
La Liga
Gameweek
3
-
Joselu
43'
-
Benjamin Lecomte
90'+6'
-
Vinicius Junior
12'
-
Karim Benzema
88'
-
Karim Benzema
90'+10'
La Liga
Gameweek
34
-
Rodrygo
33'
-
Mariano
42'
-
Rodrygo
43'
-
Casemiro
46'
-
Marco Asensio
55'
-
Karim Benzema
81'
La Liga
Gameweek
8
-
Adri Embarba
11'
-
Raul de Tomas
17'
-
Aleix Vidal
60'
-
Oscar Gil
79'
-
Eduardo Camavinga
29'
-
Karim Benzema
71'
La Liga
Gameweek
32
-
Adria Pedrosa
68'
-
Casemiro
45'
-
Vinicius Junior
87'
Form Data
Build-up
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F41%2Fjavi-puado_1.jpg)