Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 39.54%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Leganes win was 1-0 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Leganes | Draw | Alaves |
| 32.14% ( | 28.32% ( | 39.54% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.36% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.2% ( | 59.8% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.92% ( | 80.09% ( |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.75% | 34.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.05% | 70.95% ( |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.51% ( | 29.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.5% ( | 65.5% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Leganes | Draw | Alaves |
| 1-0 @ 10.82% ( 2-1 @ 7.08% 2-0 @ 5.8% ( 3-1 @ 2.53% 3-0 @ 2.07% ( 3-2 @ 1.54% ( Other @ 2.3% Total : 32.14% | 1-1 @ 13.21% 0-0 @ 10.1% ( 2-2 @ 4.32% ( Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.32% | 0-1 @ 12.33% 1-2 @ 8.07% ( 0-2 @ 7.53% ( 1-3 @ 3.29% ( 0-3 @ 3.07% ( 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 1-4 @ 1% ( 0-4 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 1.56% Total : 39.54% |