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La Liga | Gameweek 24
Feb 15, 2025 at 1pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Butarque
Alaves logo

Leganes
3 - 3
Alaves

Raba (10' pen., 37' pen.), El Haddadi (88')
Brasanac (57'), Vazquez (57'), Raba (65'), Cruz (67'), Lopes (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Kike (25'), Jordan (50' pen., 68')
Diarra (9'), Sanchez (18'), (36'), Sivera (36'), Mourino (59'), Abqar (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Leganes and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valencia 2-0 Leganes
Sunday, February 9 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 0-1 Getafe
Sunday, February 9 at 1pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 39.54%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Leganes win was 1-0 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
LeganesDrawAlaves
32.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)28.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)39.54% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.36% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.2% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)59.8% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.92% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)80.09% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Leganes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.75%34.25% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.05%70.95% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.51% (-0.012 -0.01)29.49% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.5% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)65.5% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Leganes 32.14%
    Alaves 39.54%
    Draw 28.32%
LeganesDrawAlaves
1-0 @ 10.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.08%
2-0 @ 5.8% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 2.53%
3-0 @ 2.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 32.14%
1-1 @ 13.21%
0-0 @ 10.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.32%
0-1 @ 12.33%
1-2 @ 8.07% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
0-2 @ 7.53% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 3.29% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 3.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 39.54%

How you voted: Leganes vs Alaves

Leganes
38.9%
Draw
38.9%
Alaves
22.2%
36
Head to Head
Nov 30, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 15
Alaves
1-1
Leganes
Vicente (87')
Abqar (80')
Rodriguez (67')
Hernandez (27'), Jimenez (76'), Abqar (90+3'), Neyou (90+4'), Saenz (90+6')
Apr 23, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 37
Alaves
2-1
Leganes
Rober (40', 83')
Miramon (54')
Aug 13, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 1
Leganes
1-2
Alaves
Garcia (68')
Miramon (31'), Pardo (66'), Nyom (74')
De la Fuente (20'), Sylla (75')
Abqar (38'), Alkain (60'), Sedlar (74')
Feb 29, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 26
Leganes
1-1
Alaves
Carrillo (59')
Gil (68'), Awaziem (71'), Perez (90')
Perez (47')
Duarte (41'), Fejsa (67'), Vidal (83')
Dec 13, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 17
Alaves
1-1
Leganes
Joselu (81')
Ely (2'), Joselu (42')
Braithwaite (43')
En-Nesyri (8'), Omeruo (61'), Silva (72')
rhs 2.0


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