Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 40.97%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 28.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 2-1 (7.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.35%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.