MX23RW : Saturday, February 8 07:11:07| >> :600:117057:117057:
Atletico Madrid logo
Copa del Rey | Quarter-Finals
Feb 4, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Getafe logo

Atletico
5 - 0
Getafe

Simeone (8', 17'), Lino (42'), Correa (78'), Sorloth (86')
Gallagher (70')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Ugonna Uche (8'), Bekhoucha Lemlal (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa del Rey clash between Atletico Madrid and Getafe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Getafe 0-0 Sevilla
Saturday, February 1 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Atletico Madrid 1-0 Getafe

This could be a very tricky assignment for Atletico, as Getafe are in good form and do not concede many goals; that said, we are finding it difficult to back the visitors to triumph, with Simeone's side potentially running out 1-0 winners to advance to the next round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 63.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 13.67%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.52%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawGetafe
63.97% (-1.049 -1.05) 22.36% (0.223 0.22) 13.67% (0.826 0.83)
Both teams to score 41.19% (1.438 1.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.89% (0.744 0.74)55.11% (-0.743 -0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.64% (0.609 0.61)76.36% (-0.60799999999999 -0.61)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.3% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)16.7% (0.096999999999998 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.41% (-0.172 -0.17)46.59% (0.173 0.17)
Getafe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.45% (1.781 1.78)50.55% (-1.782 -1.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.96% (1.182 1.18)85.04% (-1.183 -1.18)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 63.97%
    Getafe 13.67%
    Draw 22.35%
Atletico MadridDrawGetafe
1-0 @ 15.11% (-0.49 -0.49)
2-0 @ 13.52% (-0.48 -0.48)
2-1 @ 9.22% (0.154 0.15)
3-0 @ 8.07% (-0.317 -0.32)
3-1 @ 5.5% (0.074 0.07)
4-0 @ 3.61% (-0.155 -0.16)
4-1 @ 2.46% (0.025 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.88% (0.119 0.12)
5-0 @ 1.29% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 63.97%
1-1 @ 10.3% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 8.44% (-0.246 -0.25)
2-2 @ 3.15% (0.21 0.21)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 22.35%
0-1 @ 5.76% (0.133 0.13)
1-2 @ 3.52% (0.244 0.24)
0-2 @ 1.96% (0.142 0.14)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 13.67%

How you voted: Atletico vs Getafe

Atletico Madrid
86.4%
Draw
11.2%
Getafe
2.4%
125
Head to Head
Dec 15, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 17
Atletico
1-0
Getafe
Sorloth (69')
Correa (72'), De Paul (90'), Koke (90+2')

Iglesias (69')
Aug 3, 2024 8pm
Club Friendlies
Getafe
1-3
Atletico
Ugonna Uche (60')
Rico (82')
Fernandez Gonzalez (88')
Correa (38', 55'), Felix (45')
Alderete (82')
May 15, 2024 9pm
Gameweek 36
Getafe
0-3
Atletico

Rico (14'), Alderete (55'), Santiago (88'), Alvarez (90+1')
Griezmann (27', 42', 51')
Witsel (17'), Gimenez (77'), Hermoso (88')
Dec 19, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 18
Atletico
3-3
Getafe
Griezmann (44', 69' pen.), Morata (63')
Savic (15'), Hermoso (90')
Savic (38')
Mayoral (53', 90+3'), Rodriguez (87')
Milla (52'), Suarez (68'), Rodriguez (82')
Feb 4, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 20
Atletico
1-1
Getafe
Correa (60')
Unal (83' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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