Copa del Rey | Quarter-Finals

Feb 4, 2025 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Civitas Metropolitano

Atletico
5 - 0
Getafe

Simeone (8', 17'), Lino (42'), Correa (78'), Sorloth (86')
Gallagher (70')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Ugonna Uche (8'), Bekhoucha Lemlal (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa del Rey clash between Atletico Madrid and Getafe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

Copa del Rey

Last Game: Atletico 2-0 Mallorca
Saturday, February 1 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Getafe

All competitions

Copa del Rey

Last Game: Getafe 0-0 Sevilla
Saturday, February 1 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 63.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 13.67%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.52%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Getafe
63.97% ( -1.05)	22.36% ( 0.22)	13.67% ( 0.83)

Both teams to score 41.19% (

1.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.89% (

0.74)

55.11% (

-0.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.64% (

0.61)

76.36% (

-0.61)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.3% (

-0.1)

16.7% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.41% (

-0.17)

46.59% (

0.17)

Getafe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.45% (

1.78)

50.55% (

-1.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.96% (

1.18)

85.04% (

-1.18)

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 63.97%

Getafe 13.67%

Draw 22.35%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Getafe
1-0 @ 15.11% ( -0.49) 2-0 @ 13.52% ( -0.48) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.32) 3-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.12) 5-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.3% Total : 63.97%	1-1 @ 10.3% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.21) Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.35%	0-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.44% Total : 13.67%