Champions League
Jan 21, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Pablo Barrios 25' redcard
  • Jose Gimenez 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Julian Alvarez 52' goal
  • Giuliano Simeone 66' yellowcard
  • Julian Alvarez 90' goal
  • yellowcard Florian Wirtz 44'
  • goal Piero Hincapie 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Nathan Tella 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Piero Hincapie 45'+4'
  • redcard Piero Hincapie 76'

Atletico Madrid vs Bayer Leverkusen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Dec 11, 2024 5.45pm
Atletico 3 - 1 Slovan Bratislava

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Dec 10, 2024 8.00pm
B. Leverkusen 1 - 0 Inter Milan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 26.09% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result

Atletico Madrid 48.86% (-0.04)
Draw 25.04% (+0.01)
Bayer Leverkusen 26.09% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.73% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.99% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 50.01% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 28.01% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 71.99% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 13.32% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 86.68% (+0.01)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 79.51% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 20.49% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 47.03% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 52.96% (+0.03)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 66.32% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 33.68% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 29.66% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 70.33% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Atletico Madrid 48.86%
Draw 25.03%
Bayer Leverkusen 26.09%
Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 10.93%
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.67% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.99% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.58% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.82% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 48.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 6.9% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.14%
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 25.03%
Bayer Leverkusen
0-1 @ 7.51% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.48% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.09% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.35% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.86% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.48% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 26.09%

Head to Head

Champions League
Oct 26, 2022 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Yannick Carrasco 22' goal
  • Rodrigo De Paul 50' goal
  • goal Moussa Diaby 9'
  • goal Callum Hudson-Odoi 29'
Champions League
Sep 13, 2022 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT BayArena
  • Robert Andrich 84' goal
  • Moussa Diaby 87' goal
Champions League Gameweek 4
Nov 6, 2019 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Thomas Partey 41' goal
  • Mitchell Weiser 50' yellowcard
  • Kevin Volland 55' goal
  • Karim Bellarabi 79' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Tah 79' yellowcard
  • Nadiem Amiri 84' redcard
  • yellowcard Alvaro Morata 79'
  • yellowcard Jan Oblak 80'
  • goal Alvaro Morata 94'
Champions League Gameweek 3
Oct 22, 2019 5.55pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Koke 54' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Morata 78' goal
  • yellowcard Karim Bellarabi 38'
Champions League
Mar 15, 2017 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jose Gimenez 66' yellowcard
  • Nico Gaitan 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tin Jedvaj 64'
  • yellowcard Julian Baumgartlinger 71'
Champions League
Feb 21, 2017 7.45pm
2
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Benjamin Henrichs 15' yellowcard
  • Karim Bellarabi 48' goal
  • Aleksandar Dragovic 58' yellowcard
  • Wendell 64' yellowcard
  • Stefan Savic 68' goal
  • Charles Aranguiz 74' yellowcard
  • goal Saul Niguez 17'
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 25'
  • goal Kevin Gameiro 58'
  • goal Fernando Torres 86'
  • yellowcard Fernando Torres 88'
  • yellowcard Gabi 89'
  • yellowcard Filipe Luis 90'