Champions League

Champions League | League Stage

Jan 21, 2025 at 8pm UK

Estadio Civitas Metropolitano

Atletico
2 - 1
B. Leverkusen

Alvarez (52', 90')
Gimenez (45+2'), Simeone (66')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Hincapie (45+1')
Wirtz (44'), Tella (45+2'), Hincapie (45+4')
Hincapie (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Atletico Madrid and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Leganes 1-0 Atletico
Saturday, January 18 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 3-1 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, January 18 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 26.09% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
48.86% ( -0.03)	25.04% ( 0)	26.09% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 52.73% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.99% (

-0.01)

50.01% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.01% (

-0.01)

71.99% (

0.01)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.51% (

-0.02)

20.49% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.03% (

-0.03)

52.96% (

0.03)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.32% (

0.01)

33.68% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.66% (

0.01)

70.33% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 48.86%

Bayer Leverkusen 26.09%

Draw 25.03%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 10.93% 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.99% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 48.86%	1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 6.9% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.03%	0-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.09% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( 0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 26.09%