Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 18

Jan 18, 2025 at 5.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
3 - 1
Borussia M'bach

Wirtz (32', 62' pen.), Schick (74')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kleindienst (90+1')
Cvancara (59'), Lainer (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 1-0 Mainz
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Borussia Monchengladbach

All competitions

Last Game: Wolfsburg 5-1 Borussia M'bach
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 76.64%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 9.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.14%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.33%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 1-2 (2.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
76.64% ( -0.43)	14.04% ( 0.21)	9.32% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 55.18% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.81% (

-0.34)

29.19% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.79% (

-0.42)

50.21% (

0.42)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.76% (

-0.15)

6.24% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.44% (

-0.42)

23.56% (

0.42)

Borussia Monchengladbach Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.85% (

0.19)

41.14% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.31% (

0.16)

77.68% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 76.64%

Borussia Monchengladbach 9.32%

Draw 14.04%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
2-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.05) 6-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.46% Total : 76.64%	1-1 @ 6.33% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 14.04%	1-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.07% Total : 9.32%