Champions League
Jan 29, 2025 8.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Nicolas Capaldo 58' yellowcard
  • Hendry Blank 66' yellowcard
  • Adam Daghim 90'+1' goal
  • goal Giuliano Simeone 5'
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 13'
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 45'+2'
  • goal Marcos Llorente 63'

Red Bull Salzburg vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jan 22, 2025 8.00pm
Real Madrid 5 - 1 Salzburg

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jan 21, 2025 8.00pm
Atletico 2 - 1 B. Leverkusen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 60.43%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 20.12% and a draw had a probability of 19.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.5%) and 1-3 (7.24%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 (5.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result

Red Bull Salzburg 20.12% (+0.02)
Draw 19.45% (+0.01)
Atletico Madrid 60.43% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.49% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 68.91% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 31.08% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 47.51% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 52.49% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 28.49% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 71.51% (+0.02)

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 0.5 71.75% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 28.25% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 36.04% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 63.95%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 89.88% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 10.12% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 66.69% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 33.3% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Red Bull Salzburg 20.12%
Draw 19.45%
Atletico Madrid 60.43%
Red Bull Salzburg
2-1 @ 5.23% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 3.61% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.53% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.29% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.21% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.26%
Total : 20.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.28% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.99%
0-0 @ 2.86% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.93% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 19.45%
Atletico Madrid
1-2 @ 9.48% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.5% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 7.24% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.55% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 5.73% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 4.58% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 4.15% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 3.28% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 2.62% (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.9% (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.5% (-0.01)
2-5 @ 1.2% (-0.01)
3-4 @ 1.1% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 60.43%

Head to Head

Champions League
Dec 9, 2020 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Andre Ramalho 71' yellowcard
  • goal Mario Hermoso 39'
  • yellowcard Diego Simeone 42'
  • yellowcard Mario Hermoso 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Stefan Savic 61'
  • goal Yannick Carrasco 86'
Champions League
Oct 27, 2020 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
  • Marcos Llorente 29' goal
  • Joao Felix 52' goal
  • Marcos Llorente 64' yellowcard
  • Joao Felix 85' goal
  • yellowcard Andre Ramalho 13'
  • yellowcard Maximilian Wober 23'
  • goal Dominik Szoboszlai 40'
  • goal Mergim Berisha 47'