Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 53.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 22.96%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Villarreal win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Villarreal |
53.5% (![]() | 23.54% (![]() | 22.96% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.18% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.5% (![]() | 46.5% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.22% (![]() | 68.78% (![]() |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.68% (![]() | 17.32% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.32% (![]() | 47.68% (![]() |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.53% (![]() | 34.47% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.82% (![]() | 71.18% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 10.46% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.77% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.18% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.71% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.36% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.04% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.51% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.35% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.33% ( ![]() Other @ 3.78% Total : 53.5% | 1-1 @ 11.14% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.97% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.21% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.53% | 0-1 @ 6.36% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.94% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.39% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.85% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.2% ( ![]() Other @ 2.12% Total : 22.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 50 | 21 | 29 | 49 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 48 |
3 | Barcelona | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 60 | 24 | 36 | 45 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 33 | 20 | 13 | 41 |
5 | Villarreal | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 37 |
6 | Rayo Vallecano | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 35 |
7 | GironaGirona | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 31 |
8 | Osasuna | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 30 |
9 | Mallorca | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 30 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 29 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 28 |
12 | Sevilla | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 28 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 25 |
14 | Getafe | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 23 |
16 | Leganes | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 23 |
17 | Espanyol | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 23 |
18 | AlavesAlaves | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Valencia | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 22 | 37 | -15 | 19 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 48 | -33 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |