La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 21

Jan 25, 2025 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio Civitas Metropolitano

Atletico
1 - 1
Villarreal

Lino (58')
Gimenez (33'), De Paul (52'), Le Normand (62')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Moreno (29' pen.)
Pino (22'), Alvarez (63'), Femenia (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Atletico 2-1 B. Leverkusen
Tuesday, January 21 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Villarreal

All competitions

Last Game: Villarreal 4-0 Mallorca
Monday, January 20 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 53.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 22.96%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Villarreal win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Villarreal
53.5% ( 0.34)	23.54% ( -0.05)	22.96% ( -0.29)

Both teams to score 54.18% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.5% (

-0.1)

46.5% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.22% (

-0.1)

68.78% (

0.09)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.68% (

0.09)

17.32% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.32% (

0.15)

47.68% (

-0.15)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.53% (

-0.31)

34.47% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.82% (

-0.34)

71.18% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 53.5%

Villarreal 22.96%

Draw 23.53%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Villarreal
1-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 3.78% Total : 53.5%	1-1 @ 11.14% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.53%	0-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.12% Total : 22.96%