Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 51.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 23.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Mallorca |
| 51.11% ( | 25.05% ( | 23.83% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.48% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.11% ( | 51.89% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.36% ( | 73.64% ( |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.69% ( | 20.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.32% ( | 52.68% ( |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.34% ( | 36.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.56% ( | 73.44% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal | Draw | Mallorca |
| 1-0 @ 11.86% ( 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 2-0 @ 9.46% ( 3-1 @ 5.05% ( 3-0 @ 5.03% ( 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 4-0 @ 2% ( 4-2 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.67% Total : 51.11% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0-0 @ 7.44% ( 2-2 @ 4.76% ( Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.04% | 0-1 @ 7.47% ( 1-2 @ 5.98% ( 0-2 @ 3.75% ( 1-3 @ 2% ( 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0-3 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 1.79% Total : 23.83% |