Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 51.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 23.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Mallorca |
51.11% (![]() | 25.05% (![]() | 23.83% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.48% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.11% (![]() | 51.89% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.36% (![]() | 73.64% (![]() |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.69% (![]() | 20.3% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.32% (![]() | 52.68% (![]() |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.34% (![]() | 36.65% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.56% (![]() | 73.44% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Mallorca |
1-0 @ 11.86% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.49% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.46% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.05% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.03% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.53% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.01% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 2.67% Total : 51.11% | 1-1 @ 11.9% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.44% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.76% ( ![]() Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.04% | 0-1 @ 7.47% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.98% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.75% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.59% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.25% ( ![]() Other @ 1.79% Total : 23.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 50 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 15 | 23 | 49 |
3 | Barcelona | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 64 | 25 | 39 | 48 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 44 |
5 | Villarreal | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 40 |
6 | Rayo Vallecano | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 35 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 31 |
8 | GironaGirona | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 31 |
9 | Osasuna | 23 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 31 |
10 | Mallorca | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 31 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 29 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 28 |
13 | Sevilla | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 28 |
14 | Getafe | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 27 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 23 |
16 | Espanyol | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 23 |
17 | Leganes | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 23 |
18 | Valencia | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 22 |
19 | AlavesAlaves | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 21 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 48 | -33 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |