Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 68.81%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Hartberg had a probability of 13.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 1-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Hartberg win it was 1-2 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Bull Salzburg would win this match.