Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 65.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 12.79%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.81%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.