La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 22

Feb 1, 2025 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio Civitas Metropolitano

Atletico
2 - 0
Mallorca

Lino (26'), Griezmann (90+3')
Le Normand (70'), Gallagher (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Valjent (65'), Navarro (72'), Copete (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Mallorca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Salzburg 1-4 Atletico
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Mallorca

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Mallorca 0-1 Betis
Saturday, January 25 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 65.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 12.79%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.81%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Mallorca
65.58% ( -0.06)	21.62%	12.79% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 40.95% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.89% (

0.11)

54.11% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.47% (

0.09)

75.53% (

-0.1)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.18% (

0.01)

15.81% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.02% (

0.03)

44.98% (

-0.04)

Mallorca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.64% (

0.16)

51.36% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.42% (

0.1)

85.58% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 65.57%

Mallorca 12.79%

Draw 21.62%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Mallorca
1-0 @ 14.97% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 13.81% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.44% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 65.57%	1-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.45% Total : 21.62%	0-1 @ 5.41% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 12.79%