Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 32

Apr 12, 2025 at 3pm UK

St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton
0 - 3
Aston Villa

Fernandes (38'), Bednarek (68'), Harwood-Bellis (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Watkins (73', 73'), Malen (79', 79'), McGinn (90+4', 90+4')
McGinn (87')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions

Last Game: Spurs 3-1 Southampton
Sunday, April 6 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Aston Villa

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: PSG 3-1 Aston Villa
Wednesday, April 9 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 52.85%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 24.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.69%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Southampton win was 2-1 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Aston Villa
24.52% ( 0)	22.63% ( 0)	52.85% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 59.1% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.15% (

-0.01)

40.86% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.76% (

-0.01)

63.24% (

0.01)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.95%

30.05% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.82% (

66.18%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.49% (

-0.01)

15.51% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.59% (

-0.01)

44.41% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Southampton 24.52%

Aston Villa 52.85%

Draw 22.63%

Southampton	Draw	Aston Villa
2-1 @ 6.28% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.6% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.37% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.52% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 3.06% Total : 24.52%	1-1 @ 10.44% 2-2 @ 5.85% 0-0 @ 4.66% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.63%	1-2 @ 9.73% 0-1 @ 8.69% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.1% 1-3 @ 6.05% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.03% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.64% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.82% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.34% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.69% 1-5 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 3.72% Total : 52.85%