Premier League Gameweek 30
Brighton
Apr 2, 2025 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT The American Express Community Stadium
Aston Villa
  • Jack Hinshelwood 20' yellowcard
  • goal Marcus Rashford 51'
  • goal Marco Asensio 78'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Martinez 90'
  • yellowcard Axel Disasi 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Ollie Watkins 90'+2'
  • goal Donyell Malen 90'+10'

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2025 3.00pm
Man City 2 - 2 Brighton
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Joao Pedro

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2025 5.30pm
Brentford 0 - 1 Aston Villa
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Ollie Watkins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 45.74%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result

Brighton & Hove Albion 45.74% ▲ (+0.10)
Draw 23.52% ▼ (-0.05)
Aston Villa 30.73% ▼ (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.21% ▲ (+0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.63% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 2.5 40.37% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 3.5 37.26% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 3.5 62.74% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 4.5 19.98% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 4.5 80.02% ▼ (-0.17)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5 82.05% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 0.5 17.95% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 1.5 51.23% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 1.5 48.77% ▼ (-0.21)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 74.6% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 25.4% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 39.8% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 60.2% ▼ (-0.11)

Score analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 45.74%
Draw 23.52%
Aston Villa 30.73%
Brighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 9.22% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.83% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.72% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.28% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.62% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 45.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.73% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 6.32% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.56% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.52%
Aston Villa
1-2 @ 7.35% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 6.25% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.36% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 30.73%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 19
Aston Villa
Dec 30, 2024 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Villa Park
Brighton
  • Ollie Watkins 36' goal
  • Morgan Rogers 38' yellowcard
  • Morgan Rogers 47' goal
  • Tyrone Mings 45'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Simon Adingra 12'
  • yellowcard Fabian Hurzeler 37'
  • yellowcard Yasin Ayari 45'+7'
  • yellowcard Carlos Balepa 72'
  • goal Tariq Lamptey 81'
  • yellowcard Igor Julio 90'+2'
Premier League Gameweek 36
Brighton
May 5, 2024 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The American Express Community Stadium
Aston Villa
  • Pascal Gross 49' yellowcard
  • Simon Adingra 63' yellowcard
  • Joao Pedro 87' goal
  • Roberto De Zerbi 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matty Cash 90'+9'
Premier League Gameweek 7
Aston Villa
Sep 30, 2023 12.30pm
6
1
HT : 3 0
FT Villa Park
Brighton
  • Douglas Luiz 7' yellowcard
  • Ollie Watkins 14' goal
  • Ollie Watkins 21' goal
  • Pervis Estupinan 26' goal
  • Lucas Digne 32' yellowcard
  • Ezri Konsa 57' yellowcard
  • Ollie Watkins 65' goal
  • Jacob Ramsey 85' goal
  • Jhon Duran 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Douglas Luiz 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard Danny Welbeck 39'
  • goal Ansu Fati 50'
  • yellowcard Ansu Fati 72'
  • yellowcard Lewis Dunk 79'
  • yellowcard Kaoru Mitoma 84'
Premier League Gameweek 38
Aston Villa
May 28, 2023 4.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
Brighton
  • Douglas Luiz 8' goal
  • Ollie Watkins 26' goal
  • goal Deniz Undav 38'
Club Friendlies 1
Aston Villa
Dec 8, 2022 1.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Brighton
  • Danny Ings 67' goal
  • Arjan Raikhy 85' goal
  • goal Deniz Undav 75'
  • goal Deniz Undav 81'
Premier League Gameweek 16
Brighton
Nov 13, 2022 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Aston Villa
  • Alexis Mac Allister 1' goal
  • goal Danny Ings 20'
  • goal Danny Ings 54'

Form Data

Brighton 0 - 0 Nott'm Forest
Man City 2 - 2 Brighton
Brighton 2 - 1 Fulham
Newcastle 1 - 2 Brighton
Brighton 2 - 1 Bournemouth
Southampton 0 - 4 Brighton
Preston 0 - 3 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 3 - 0 Brugge
Brentford 0 - 1 Aston Villa
Brugge 1 - 3 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 2 - 0 Cardiff
Crystal Palace 4 - 1 Aston Villa

Build-up

News
Predicted Lineups