Premier League Gameweek 29
Man City
Mar 15, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Etihad Stadium
Brighton
  • Erling Haaland 11' goal
  • Savio 15' yellowcard
  • Omar Marmoush 39' goal
  • Jeremy Doku 61' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro 10'
  • yellowcard Kaoru Mitoma 18'
  • goal Pervis Estupinan 21'
  • yellowcard Carlos Balepa 26'
  • goal Abdukodir Khusanov 48' (OG)
  • yellowcard Mats Wieffer 89'
  • yellowcard Bart Verbruggen 90'+1'

Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2025 12.30pm
Nott'm Forest 1 - 0 Man City
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Erling Haaland

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2025 3.00pm
Brighton 2 - 1 Fulham
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Joao Pedro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 55.48%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 24.19% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.77%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result

Manchester City 55.48% ▲ (+0.31)
Draw 20.32% ▼ (-0.09)
Brighton & Hove Albion 24.19% ▼ (-0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

67.29% ▲ (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 70.01% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 2.5 29.99% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 3.5 48.82% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 3.5 51.17% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 4.5 29.67% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 4.5 70.33% ▼ (-0.19)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 88.96% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 0.5 11.04% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 1.5 64.63% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 1.5 35.37% ▼ (-0.30)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5 75.65% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 0.5 24.35% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 41.25% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 58.75% ▲ (+0.09)

Score analysis

Manchester City 55.48%
Draw 20.32%
Brighton & Hove Albion 24.19%
Manchester City
2-1 @ 9.22% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.77% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.53% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 5.92% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 3.73% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.03)
4-3 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.03)
5-2 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 55.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.37% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 6.51% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 20.32%
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-2 @ 5.91% ▼ (-0.05)
0-1 @ 3.8% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 24.19%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 11
Brighton
Nov 9, 2024 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Broadfield Stadium
Man City
  • Yasin Ayari 19' yellowcard
  • Igor Julio 44' yellowcard
  • Joao Pedro 78' goal
  • Matt O'Riley 83' goal
  • Jan Paul van Hecke 90'+10' yellowcard
  • goal Erling Haaland 23'
  • yellowcard Rico Lewis 37'
  • yellowcard Jahmal Simpson-Pussey 77'
  • yellowcard Erling Haaland 90'+10'
Premier League Gameweek 29
Brighton
Apr 25, 2024 8.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT The American Express Community Stadium
Man City
  • Joel Veltman 35' yellowcard
  • Carlos Balepa 76' yellowcard
  • goal Kevin De Bruyne 17'
  • goal Phil Foden 26'
  • goal Phil Foden 34'
  • goal Julian Alvarez 62'
Premier League Gameweek 9
Man City
Oct 21, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 4 0
FT Etihad Stadium
Brighton
  • Julian Alvarez 7' goal
  • Julian Alvarez 7' goal
  • Erling Haaland 19' goal
  • Erling Haaland 19' goal
  • Rodri 38' yellowcard
  • Manuel Akanji 63' yellowcard
  • Jack Grealish 84' yellowcard
  • Manuel Akanji 90'+5' redcard
  • yellowcard Solly March 36'
  • yellowcard Igor Julio 64'
  • goal Ansu Fati 73'
Premier League Gameweek 32
Brighton
May 24, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Man City
  • Julio Enciso 38' goal
  • goal Phil Foden 25'
Premier League Gameweek 13
Man City
Oct 22, 2022 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Brighton
  • Erling Braut Haaland 22' goal
  • Erling Braut Haaland 43' goal
  • Kevin De Bruyne 75' goal
  • goal Leandro Trossard 53'
Premier League Gameweek 30
Man City
Apr 20, 2022 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brighton
  • Riyad Mahrez 53' goal
  • Phil Foden 65' goal
  • Bernardo Silva 82' goal
  • yellowcard Alexis Mac Allister 79'
  • yellowcard Adam Webster 81'
  • yellowcard Lewis Dunk 89'

Form Data

Nott'm Forest 1 - 0 Man City
Man City 3 - 1 Plymouth
Spurs 0 - 1 Man City
Man City 0 - 2 Liverpool
Real Madrid 3 - 1 Man City
Man City 4 - 0 Newcastle
Brighton 2 - 1 Fulham
Newcastle 1 - 2 Brighton
Brighton 2 - 1 Bournemouth
Southampton 0 - 4 Brighton
Brighton 3 - 0 Chelsea
Brighton 2 - 1 Chelsea

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