FA Cup

FA Cup | Fifth Round

Mar 2, 2025 at 1.45pm UK

St. James' Park

Newcastle
1 - 2
Brighton

Isak (22' pen.)
Joelinton (36')

FT
(aet)

Minteh (44'), Welbeck (114')
Lamptey (29'), Webster (35'), Balepa (45+2'), Gomez (92')
Lamptey (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

Danny Welbeck delivers a moment of magic, scoring the winning goal in extra time as Brighton & Hove Albion defeat Newcastle United in the FA Cup fifth round.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Newcastle United and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Liverpool 2-0 Newcastle
Wednesday, February 26 at 8.15pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Brighton 2-1 Bournemouth
Tuesday, February 25 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.29%) and 2-0 (5.46%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%).

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
41.8% ( 0.94)	22.89% ( 0.06)	35.31% ( -0.99)

Both teams to score 65.44% (

-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.41% (

-0.47)

35.59% (

0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.35% (

-0.52)

57.65% (

0.53)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.38% (

0.2)

17.62% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.79% (

0.34)

48.21% (

-0.34)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.43% (

-0.7)

20.57% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.91% (

-1.12)

53.09% (

1.12)

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 41.8%

Brighton & Hove Albion 35.31%

Draw 22.89%

Newcastle United	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 5% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.95% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.07) 4-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.14% Total : 41.8%	1-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.89%	1-2 @ 7.87% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 5.73% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.04% Total : 35.31%