Premier League Gameweek 26
Newcastle
Feb 23, 2025 2.00pm
4
3
HT : 4 1
FT St. James' Park
Nott'm Forest
  • Lewis Miley 23' goal
  • Jacob Murphy 25' goal
  • Alexander Isak 33' goal
  • Alexander Isak 34' goal
  • Tino Livramento 55' yellowcard
  • goal Callum Hudson-Odoi 6'
  • yellowcard Nikola Milenkovic 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Elliot Anderson 52'
  • goal Nikola Milenkovic 63'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Dominguez 74'
  • goal Ryan Yates 90'
  • yellowcard Ryan Yates 90'+2'

Newcastle United vs Nottingham Forest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
Feb 15, 2025 3.00pm
Man City 4 - 0 Newcastle
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Alexander Isak

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
Last game
Feb 15, 2025 3.00pm
Fulham 2 - 1 Nott'm Forest
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Chris Wood

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 55.26%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 23.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result

Newcastle United 55.26% ▲ (+0.42)
Draw 21.71% ▼ (-0.20)
Nottingham Forest 23.03% ▼ (-0.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.56% ▲ (+0.40)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.88% ▲ (+0.65)
Under 2.5 38.11% ▼ (-0.65)
Over 3.5 39.61% ▲ (+0.69)
Under 3.5 60.38% ▼ (-0.69)
Over 4.5 21.83% ▲ (+0.55)
Under 4.5 78.17% ▼ (-0.55)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 86.22% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 0.5 13.77% ▼ (-0.35)
Over 1.5 58.92% ▲ (+0.69)
Under 1.5 41.08% ▼ (-0.69)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5 70.23% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 0.5 29.77% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 1.5 34.16% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 1.5 65.84% ▼ (-0.21)

Score analysis

Newcastle United 55.26%
Draw 21.71%
Nottingham Forest 23.03%
Newcastle United
2-1 @ 9.76% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.13% ▼ (-0.15)
2-0 @ 8.06% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 6.45% ▲ (+0.08)
3-0 @ 5.32% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.07)
4-1 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.08)
4-0 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.06)
4-2 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.06)
5-1 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.05)
5-0 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 55.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.85% ▼ (-0.14)
2-2 @ 5.92% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.1% ▼ (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.71%
Nottingham Forest
1-2 @ 5.97% ▼ (-0.06)
0-1 @ 4.97% ▼ (-0.14)
0-2 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 23.03%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 11
Nott'm Forest
Nov 10, 2024 2.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT The City Ground
Newcastle
  • Murillo 21' goal
  • Ryan Yates 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dan Burn 7'
  • goal Alexander Isak 54'
  • goal Joelinton 72'
  • goal Harvey Barnes 83'
EFL Cup
Nott'm Forest
Aug 28, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT The City Ground
Newcastle
  • Jota Silva 50' goal
  • Jota Silva 53' yellowcard
  • Zach Abbott 54' yellowcard
  • Alex Moreno 72' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Dominguez 77' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Sangare 88' yellowcard
  • goal Joe Willock 1'
  • yellowcard Bruno Guimaraes 53'
  • yellowcard Lewis Hall 67'
Premier League Gameweek 24
Nott'm Forest
Feb 10, 2024 5.30pm
2
3
HT : 2 2
FT The City Ground
Newcastle
  • Anthony Elanga 26' goal
  • Callum Hudson-Odoi 45'+6' goal
  • Morgan Gibbs-White 59' yellowcard
  • goal Bruno Guimaraes 10'
  • goal Fabian Schar 43'
  • yellowcard Sven Botman 58'
  • goal Bruno Guimaraes 66'
  • yellowcard Callum Wilson 90'+4'
Premier League Gameweek 19
Newcastle
Dec 26, 2023 12.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT St. James' Park
Nott'm Forest
  • Alexander Isak 23' goal
  • Anthony Gordon 27' yellowcard
  • Bruno Guimaraes 85' yellowcard
  • Fabian Schar 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Sangare 26'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Montiel 27'
  • goal Chris Wood 45'+1'
  • goal Chris Wood 53'
  • goal Chris Wood 60'
  • yellowcard Neco Williams 84'
Premier League Gameweek 28
Nott'm Forest
Mar 17, 2023 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Newcastle
  • Emmanuel Dennis 26' goal
  • goal Alexander Isak 45'+2'
  • goal Alexander Isak 90'+3'
Premier League Gameweek 1
Newcastle
Aug 6, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. James' Park
Nott'm Forest
  • Fabian Schar 58' goal
  • Callum Wilson 78' goal
  • yellowcard Joe Worrall 15'
  • yellowcard Neco Williams 23'
  • yellowcard Lewis O'Brien 56'

Form Data

Man City 4 - 0 Newcastle
Birmingham 2 - 3 Newcastle
Newcastle 2 - 0 Arsenal
Newcastle 1 - 2 Fulham
Southampton 1 - 3 Newcastle
Newcastle 1 - 4 Bournemouth
Fulham 2 - 1 Nott'm Forest
Exeter 2 - 2 Nott'm Forest
Nott'm Forest 7 - 0 Brighton
Bournemouth 5 - 0 Nott'm Forest
Nott'm Forest 3 - 2 Southampton
Nott'm Forest 1 - 1 Liverpool

Build-up

News
Predicted Lineups