Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 26

Feb 23, 2025 at 2pm UK

St. James' Park

Newcastle
4 - 3
Nott'm Forest

Miley (23'), Murphy (25'), Isak (33' pen., 34')
Livramento (55')

FT(HT: 4-1)

Hudson-Odoi (6'), Milenkovic (63'), Yates (90')
Milenkovic (45+2'), Anderson (52'), Dominguez (74'), Yates (90+2')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Man City 4-0 Newcastle
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Nottingham Forest

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Fulham 2-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 55.26%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 23.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Nottingham Forest
55.26% ( 0.42)	21.71% ( -0.19)	23.03% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 60.56% (

0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.88% (

0.65)

38.11% (

-0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.61% (

0.69)

60.38% (

-0.68)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.22% (

0.35)

13.77% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.92% (

0.69)

41.08% (

-0.69)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.23% (

0.17)

29.77% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.16% (

0.21)

65.84% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 55.26%

Nottingham Forest 23.03%

Draw 21.71%

Newcastle United	Draw	Nottingham Forest
2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.54% Total : 55.26%	1-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.71%	1-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.07% Total : 23.03%