MX23RW : Friday, March 21 17:47:45| >> :600:836678:836678:
Exeter City
FA Cup | Fourth Round
Feb 11, 2025 at 8pm UK
St James Park
Nottingham Forest logo

Exeter
2 - 2
Nott'm Forest

Magennis (5', 50')
McMillan (38'), Yogane (115')
Turns (87')
FT
(aet)
Sosa (15'), Awoniyi (37')
Williams (105+1'), Williams (115')
Nott'm Forest win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Exeter City and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 4-1 Exeter
Saturday, February 1 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 7-0 Brighton
Saturday, February 1 at 12.30pm in Premier League

We say: Exeter City 0-2 Nottingham Forest

Even without the likes of Wood and Hudson-Odoi, it is difficult to see Exeter posing much of a challenge to Nottingham Forest's exceptional defence. Additionally, the hosts have been frail at the back in recent weeks, and they are unlikely to get back into the game should they concede first. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawNottingham Forest
32.18% (1.86 1.86) 24.72% (0.651 0.65) 43.1% (-2.508 -2.51)
Both teams to score 57.7% (-1.348 -1.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.71% (-2.166 -2.17)45.29% (2.169 2.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.37% (-2.107 -2.11)67.63% (2.11 2.11)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.1% (0.124 0.12)26.9% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.78% (0.164 0.16)62.22% (-0.161 -0.16)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.93% (-1.981 -1.98)21.07% (1.983 1.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.11% (-3.182 -3.18)53.89% (3.184 3.18)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 32.18%
    Nottingham Forest 43.1%
    Draw 24.72%
Exeter CityDrawNottingham Forest
2-1 @ 7.61% (0.296 0.3)
1-0 @ 7.44% (0.693 0.69)
2-0 @ 4.89% (0.471 0.47)
3-1 @ 3.33% (0.141 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.14% (0.213 0.21)
4-1 @ 1.09% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 32.18%
1-1 @ 11.59% (0.42 0.42)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-0 @ 5.67% (0.51 0.51)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.72%
1-2 @ 9.02% (-0.231 -0.23)
0-1 @ 8.83% (0.284 0.28)
0-2 @ 6.87% (-0.201 -0.2)
1-3 @ 4.68% (-0.425 -0.43)
0-3 @ 3.57% (-0.337 -0.34)
2-3 @ 3.08% (-0.268 -0.27)
1-4 @ 1.82% (-0.292 -0.29)
0-4 @ 1.39% (-0.227 -0.23)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.187 -0.19)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 43.1%

How you voted: Exeter vs Nott'm Forest

Exeter City
17.1%
Draw
6.6%
Nottingham Forest
76.3%
76
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal291610353242958
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest29166749351454
4Chelsea29147853371649
5Manchester CityMan City29146955401548
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton29121164842647
8Fulham2912984338545
9Aston Villa2912984145-445
10Bournemouth29128948361244
11Brentford29125125045541
12Crystal Palace2810993633339
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd29107123740-337
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs291041555431234
15Everton2971393236-434
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2997133349-1634
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2975174058-1826
18Ipswich TownIpswich2938182862-3417
19Leicester CityLeicester2945202565-4017
20Southampton2923242170-499


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!