FA Cup
Feb 11, 2025 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
ET St James Park
  • Josh Magennis 5' goal
  • Jack McMillan 38' yellowcard
  • Josh Magennis 50' goal
  • Ed Turns 87' redcard
  • Tony Yogane 115' yellowcard
  • goal Ramon Sosa 15'
  • goal Taiwo Awoniyi 37'
  • yellowcard Neco Williams 105'+1'
  • yellowcard Neco Williams 115'

Exeter City vs Nottingham Forest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions

Nottingham Forest

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result

Exeter City 32.18% (+1.87)
Draw 24.72% (+0.66)
Nottingham Forest 43.1% (-2.51)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.7% (-1.35)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.71% (-2.17)
Under 2.5 45.29% (+2.17)
Over 3.5 32.37% (-2.11)
Under 3.5 67.63% (+2.11)
Over 4.5 16.34% (-1.54)
Under 4.5 83.66% (+1.55)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5 73.1% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 26.9% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 37.78% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 62.22% (-0.17)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5 78.93% (-1.99)
Under 0.5 21.07% (+1.99)
Over 1.5 46.11% (-3.19)
Under 1.5 53.89% (+3.19)

Score analysis

Exeter City 32.18%
Draw 24.72%
Nottingham Forest 43.1%
Exeter City
2-1 @ 7.61% (+0.30)
1-0 @ 7.44% (+0.70)
2-0 @ 4.89% (+0.48)
3-1 @ 3.33% (+0.15)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.14% (+0.22)
4-1 @ 1.09% (+0.06)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 32.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.59% (+0.42)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.14)
0-0 @ 5.67% (+0.51)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.12)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.72%
Nottingham Forest
1-2 @ 9.02% (-0.24)
0-1 @ 8.83% (+0.29)
0-2 @ 6.87% (-0.21)
1-3 @ 4.68% (-0.43)
0-3 @ 3.57% (-0.34)
2-3 @ 3.08% (-0.27)
1-4 @ 1.82% (-0.30)
0-4 @ 1.39% (-0.23)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.19)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 43.1%