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Championship header 2

League One

Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 30
Feb 1, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Exeter City

Stevenage
4 - 1
Exeter

King (11'), Roberts (17', 80'), Kemp (76')
King (2'), Freeman (24'), Reid (44')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Magennis (3' pen.)
Diabate (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Stevenage and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Wrexham 2-3 Stevenage
Tuesday, January 28 at 7.45pm in League One

Exeter City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Exeter 2-6 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, January 28 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 48.46%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawExeter City
48.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)26.34%25.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.08% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)55.72% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.14% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)76.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.97%23.03% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.16% (0.0019999999999953 0)56.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.46% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)37.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.68% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)74.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 48.46%
    Exeter City 25.2%
    Draw 26.33%
StevenageDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 12.69%
2-0 @ 9.32% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-1 @ 9.13%
3-0 @ 4.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.47%
3-2 @ 2.19%
4-0 @ 1.68%
4-1 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 48.46%
1-1 @ 12.43%
0-0 @ 8.65% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 8.47%
1-2 @ 6.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.46%
0-3 @ 1.36% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 25.2%

Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 7
Exeter
2-0
Stevenage
Francis (9'), Doyle (50')
Crama (55')

Roberts (44'), Piergianni (83')
> Preview
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 43
Exeter
1-0
Stevenage
Cole (38')
Carroll (22'), Hemmings (69'), Thompson (90+3'), Sweeney (90+3')

Butler (7'), Thompson (47'), Watts (86')
> Preview
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Stevenage
1-1
Exeter
Piergianni (45+1')
Butler (53')
Wildschut (47')
Aitchison (23'), Caldwell (24'), Taylor (43'), Sweeney (46'), Sinisalo (64'), Niskanen (75')
Aitchison (43')
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Second Round
Exeter
1-1
Stevenage
(Aggregate 1-1 | Exeter win 5-3 on penalties)
Hartridge (5')
Trevitt (8'), Sweeney (30')
Roberts (69')
Evans (9'), Butler (63'), Thompson (89')
> Preview
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 39
Exeter
2-1
Stevenage
Stubbs (28', 44')
Key (69'), Sweeney (90')
Norris (38')
Cuthbert (18'), Barry (90+4')
> Preview