League One

League One | Gameweek 28

Jan 25, 2025 at 3pm UK

Oakwell Stadium

Barnsley
0 - 1
Stevenage

McCarthy (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kemp (90+2', 90+2')
Phillips (56'), Goode (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-1 Barnsley
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Stevenage

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-1 Stevenage
Tuesday, January 21 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 30.93% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Barnsley	Draw	Stevenage
41.06% ( 0.43)	28.02% ( 0.31)	30.93% ( -0.73)

Both teams to score 46.84% (

-1.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.98% (

-1.29)

59.02% (

1.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.51% (

-1.01)

79.49% (

1.01)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.75% (

-0.37)

28.25% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.04% (

-0.47)

63.96% (

0.48)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.28% (

-1.21)

34.72% (

1.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.55% (

-1.3)

71.45% (

1.31)

Score Analysis

Barnsley 41.05%

Stevenage 30.92%

Draw 28.01%

Barnsley	Draw	Stevenage
1-0 @ 12.39% ( 0.46) 2-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.74% Total : 41.05%	1-1 @ 13.11% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.47) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.01%	0-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.2% Total : 30.92%