League One

League One | Gameweek 25

Jan 4, 2025 at 3pm UK

Oakwell Stadium

Barnsley
3 - 0
Crawley

Russell (11'), Watters (51'), Keillor-Dunn (54')
Gent (45+1'), McCarthy (64'), Cosgrove (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

John-Jules (45+1'), Baker (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions

Last Game: Barnsley 2-1 Wrexham
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Crawley Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Exeter 4-4 Crawley
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 45.58%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Barnsley	Draw	Crawley Town
45.58% ( -0.38)	24.19% ( 0.16)	30.23% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 58.56% (

-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.27% (

-0.61)

43.73% (

0.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.88% (

-0.6)

66.12% (

0.6)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.65% (

-0.4)

19.35% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.87% (

-0.66)

51.13% (

0.66)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.61% (

-0.16)

27.39% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.14% (

-0.2)

62.86% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Barnsley 45.58%

Crawley Town 30.23%

Draw 24.19%

Barnsley	Draw	Crawley Town
2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.17% Total : 45.58%	1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.19%	1-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.95% Total : 30.23%