Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-0 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.