/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fwrelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fwiglog.png)
-
Phil Parkinson
28'
-
Ryan Barnett
60'
-
Ryan Barnett
61'
-
Steven Fletcher
90'+1'
-
James McClean
90'+2'
-
Baba Adeeko
27'
-
Will Aimson
77'
-
Joe Hugill
79'
-
Jensen Weir
85'
Wrexham vs Wigan Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F52%2Fphil-parkinson.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.71%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result
Wrexham
44.91%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
27.43%
▲
(+0.01)
Wigan Athletic
27.66%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
46.88%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
41.81%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 2.5
58.18%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 3.5
21.16%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
78.83%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 4.5
9.01%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 4.5
90.98%
▲
(+0.01)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5
74.18%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
25.82%
Over 1.5
39.22%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
60.78%
▼
(-0.01)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5
63.2%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
36.8%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
26.41%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
73.59%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Wrexham
44.9%
Draw
27.43%
Wigan Athletic
27.66%
Wrexham
1-0
@
12.86%
2-0 @ 8.71% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.71%
3-0 @ 3.93% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.93%
3-2 @ 1.97%
4-0 @ 1.33%
4-1 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 44.9%
2-0 @ 8.71% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.71%
3-0 @ 3.93% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.93%
3-2 @ 1.97%
4-0 @ 1.33%
4-1 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 44.9%
Draw
1-1
@
12.86%
0-0 @ 9.5% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.35% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.43%
0-0 @ 9.5% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.35% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.43%
Wigan Athletic
0-1
@
9.5%
1-2 @ 6.43% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.75% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 27.66%
1-2 @ 6.43% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.75% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 27.66%