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Wrexham AFC
League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
SToK Cae Ras
Wigan logo

Wrexham
2 - 1
Wigan

Barnett (60'), Fletcher (90+1')
Parkinson (28'), Barnett (61'), McClean (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hugill (79')
Adeeko (27'), Aimson (77'), Weir (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Wrexham and Wigan Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 0-1 Wigan
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.71%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawWigan Athletic
44.91% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)27.43% (0.0010000000000012 0)27.66% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.88% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.81% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)58.18% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.16% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)78.83% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.18% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)25.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.22% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)60.78% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.2% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)36.8% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.41% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)73.59% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 44.9%
    Wigan Athletic 27.66%
    Draw 27.43%
WrexhamDrawWigan Athletic
1-0 @ 12.86%
2-0 @ 8.71% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 8.71%
3-0 @ 3.93% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.93%
3-2 @ 1.97%
4-0 @ 1.33%
4-1 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 44.9%
1-1 @ 12.86%
0-0 @ 9.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.43%
0-1 @ 9.5%
1-2 @ 6.43% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.75% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 27.66%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Wigan

Wrexham
80.6%
Draw
12.9%
Wigan Athletic
6.5%
31
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2023 8pm
First Round
Wrexham
1-0
Wigan
(Aggregate 0-0 | Wrexham win 4-2 on penalties)
Forde (45+4'), Palmer (68'), Barnett (75')
Smith (20'), Sze (45')