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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.71%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wrexham | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 44.91% ( | 27.43% ( | 27.66% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.88% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.81% ( | 58.18% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.16% ( | 78.83% ( |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.18% ( | 25.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.22% ( | 60.78% ( |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.2% ( | 36.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.41% ( | 73.59% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wrexham | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 12.86% 2-0 @ 8.71% ( 2-1 @ 8.71% 3-0 @ 3.93% ( 3-1 @ 3.93% 3-2 @ 1.97% 4-0 @ 1.33% 4-1 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.13% Total : 44.9% | 1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 9.5% ( 2-2 @ 4.35% ( Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.43% | 0-1 @ 9.5% 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0-2 @ 4.75% ( 1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0-3 @ 1.58% ( 2-3 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 1.82% Total : 27.66% |