Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 54.67%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 22.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.