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League One | Gameweek 17
Nov 23, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Blackpool

Bolton
2 - 1
Blackpool

Thomason (53'), Collins (90+4')
Thomason (36'), Sheehan (45+3'), Schon (50'), Johnston (85'), Collins (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Joseph (33')
Joseph (52'), Norburn (57'), Ashworth (78'), Evans (88'), Ballard (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Blackpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 2-1 Fleetwood
Tuesday, November 12 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Blackpool 0-0 Northampton
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 48.35%. A win for Blackpool had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Blackpool win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawBlackpool
48.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)23.43% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)28.21% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 59.84% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)41.44% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)63.84% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)17.34% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)47.73% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.4% (0.00099999999999056 0)27.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.87% (0.00099999999999767 0)63.12%
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 48.35%
    Blackpool 28.21%
    Draw 23.43%
Bolton WanderersDrawBlackpool
2-1 @ 9.46%
1-0 @ 8.39%
2-0 @ 7.35%
3-1 @ 5.52%
3-0 @ 4.29%
3-2 @ 3.56%
4-1 @ 2.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.88% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.56%
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 48.35%
1-1 @ 10.79%
2-2 @ 6.09%
0-0 @ 4.79% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.43%
1-2 @ 6.95%
0-1 @ 6.16% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.97%
1-3 @ 2.98%
2-3 @ 2.61%
0-3 @ 1.7%
1-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 28.21%

How you voted: Bolton vs Blackpool

Bolton Wanderers
85.7%
Draw
7.1%
Blackpool
7.1%
28
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 35
Blackpool
4-1
Bolton
Beesley (16', 68' pen.), Ekpiteta (27'), Gabriel (84')
Grimshaw (61')
Thomason (9')
Mendes Gomes (30'), Jones (51')
Santos (66')
Jan 30, 2024 7pm
Quarter-Finals
Blackpool
0-0
Bolton
(Aggregate 0-0 | Blackpool win 5-4 on penalties)
Connolly (27')
Santos (5'), Thomason (87')
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Bolton
1-0
Blackpool
Thomason (74')
Sheehan (21'), Evatt (22'), Maghoma (36'), Baxter (77'), Cogley (78'), Santos (80')

Thompson (57')
Feb 25, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Blackpool
2-1
Bolton
Ronan (13'), Dewsbury-Hall (90')
Husband (74'), Dewsbury-Hall (90')
Bryan (88')
Hamilton (33'), Murphy (66')
Oct 7, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 12
Bolton
0-0
Blackpool
Verlinden (44')
Heneghan (44')