League One

League One | Gameweek 18

Dec 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
3 - 1
Mansfield

Charles (75'), Adeboyejo (80'), McAtee (85')
Collins (51')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Boateng (34')
Bowery (46'), Evans (59'), Boateng (59'), Oshilaja (90+1')
Boateng (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Cambridge 1-1 Bolton
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Mansfield Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Stevenage 0-1 Mansfield
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 46.84%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 28.18% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Mansfield Town
46.84% ( 0.28)	24.98% ( 0.11)	28.18% ( -0.39)

Both teams to score 54.56% (

-0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.62% (

-0.7)

48.38% (

0.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.48% (

-0.64)

70.52% (

0.64)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.3% (

-0.16)

20.69% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.7% (

-0.26)

53.29% (

0.26)

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.8% (

-0.65)

31.2% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.46% (

-0.77)

67.54% (

0.77)

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 46.84%

Mansfield Town 28.18%

Draw 24.98%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Mansfield Town
1-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.66% Total : 46.84%	1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.98%	0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.89% Total : 28.18%