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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 49.33%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.08%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough United | Draw | Barnsley |
| 49.33% ( | 21.28% ( | 29.39% ( |
| Both teams to score 68.76% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.87% ( | 30.13% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.65% ( | 51.35% ( |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.16% ( | 12.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.8% ( | 39.19% ( |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.89% ( | 21.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.05% ( | 53.95% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterborough United | Draw | Barnsley |
| 2-1 @ 8.88% ( 3-1 @ 6.08% ( 2-0 @ 5.71% ( 1-0 @ 5.56% ( 3-2 @ 4.73% ( 3-0 @ 3.91% ( 4-1 @ 3.12% ( 4-2 @ 2.43% ( 4-0 @ 2.01% 5-1 @ 1.28% ( 4-3 @ 1.26% ( 5-2 @ 1% ( Other @ 3.39% Total : 49.33% | 1-1 @ 8.65% ( 2-2 @ 6.91% ( 0-0 @ 2.71% ( 3-3 @ 2.45% ( Other @ 0.56% Total : 21.28% | 1-2 @ 6.73% ( 0-1 @ 4.22% ( 2-3 @ 3.58% ( 1-3 @ 3.49% ( 0-2 @ 3.28% ( 0-3 @ 1.7% 2-4 @ 1.39% ( 1-4 @ 1.36% ( 3-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.69% Total : 29.39% |