League One

League One | Gameweek 22

Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK

University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
1 - 2
Barnsley

Lolos (26')
Lolos (58'), Thomason (75'), Williams (75'), Charles (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Keillor-Dunn (80'), Phillips (89')
McCarthy (42'), Cotter (76'), Cotter (85'), Nwakali (90'), Yoganathan (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Wycombe 0-0 Bolton
Friday, December 20 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Barnsley

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Barnsley 0-4 Leyton Orient
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 54.73%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 23.58% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Barnsley in this match.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Barnsley
54.73% ( 0.88)	21.69% ( -0.3)	23.58% ( -0.58)

Both teams to score 61.35% (

0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.61% (

0.78)

37.39% (

-0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.39% (

0.84)

59.6% (

-0.84)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.3% (

0.54)

13.69% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.07% (

1.07)

40.92% (

-1.07)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.09% (

-0.04)

28.91% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.21% (

-0.05)

64.79% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 54.73%

Barnsley 23.58%

Draw 21.69%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Barnsley
2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.65% Total : 54.73%	1-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.69%	1-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.3% Total : 23.58%