League One

League One | Gameweek 23

Dec 29, 2024 at 3pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
4 - 4
Crawley

Alli (35'), Harper (60'), Woods (82'), Mitchell (90+3')
Bird (20'), Caldwell (21'), Watts (49'), Alli (89')

FT(HT: 1-4)

Camara (15'), Swan (37'), Showunmi (42'), Quitirna (45+1')
Elliott (0'), Ibrahim (65'), Mullarkey (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Exeter City and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Exeter 3-1 Bristol Rovers
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Crawley Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Leyton Orient 3-0 Crawley
Thursday, December 26 at 1pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 45.63%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Crawley Town
45.63% ( 0.02)	24.19% ( -0.02)	30.18% ( -0)

Both teams to score 58.52% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.23% (

0.07)

43.77% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.84% (

0.07)

66.15% (

-0.07)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.65% (

0.03)

19.34% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.88% (

0.06)

51.12% (

-0.06)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.56% (

0.03)

27.44% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.08% (

0.04)

62.92% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Exeter City 45.63%

Crawley Town 30.18%

Draw 24.19%

Exeter City	Draw	Crawley Town
2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.16% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.92% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 3.17% Total : 45.63%	1-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.19%	1-2 @ 7.29% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.86% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.44% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 30.18%