League Two

League Two | Gameweek 7

Oct 20, 2020 at 7pm UK

St. James' Park

Exeter
2 - 1
Crawley

Taylor (77'), Bowman (84')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Watters (40')
Frost (45')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Exeter City and Crawley Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 55.47%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 19.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Crawley Town
55.47%	25.12%	19.41%

Both teams to score 44.71%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.4%

56.6%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.42%

77.57%

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.6%

20.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.17%

52.83%

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.16%

43.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.01%

79.99%

Score Analysis

Exeter City 55.46%

Crawley Town 19.41%

Draw 25.11%

Exeter City	Draw	Crawley Town
1-0 @ 14.21% 2-0 @ 11.29% 2-1 @ 9.32% 3-0 @ 5.99% 3-1 @ 4.94% 4-0 @ 2.38% 3-2 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 1.96% Other @ 3.34% Total : 55.46%	1-1 @ 11.72% 0-0 @ 8.94% 2-2 @ 3.84% Other @ 0.61% Total : 25.11%	0-1 @ 7.38% 1-2 @ 4.84% 0-2 @ 3.04% 1-3 @ 1.33% 2-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.77% Total : 19.41%