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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Exeter City |
| 38.8% | 27.86% | 33.33% |
| Both teams to score 47.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.04% | 57.95% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.34% | 78.65% |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.98% | 29.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.08% | 64.92% |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.54% | 32.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.01% | 68.98% |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Exeter City |
| 1-0 @ 11.65% 2-1 @ 8.11% 2-0 @ 7.21% 3-1 @ 3.35% 3-0 @ 2.97% 3-2 @ 1.88% 4-1 @ 1.04% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.67% Total : 38.8% | 1-1 @ 13.11% 0-0 @ 9.42% 2-2 @ 4.56% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.86% | 0-1 @ 10.59% 1-2 @ 7.38% 0-2 @ 5.96% 1-3 @ 2.77% 0-3 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.68% Total : 33.32% |