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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 49.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 24.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.43%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-0 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Stevenage |
| 24.42% ( | 25.66% ( | 49.92% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.29% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.23% ( | 53.76% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.76% ( | 75.24% ( |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.84% ( | 37.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.05% ( | 73.94% ( |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.43% ( | 21.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.35% ( | 54.64% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Stevenage |
| 1-0 @ 7.93% ( 2-1 @ 6.02% ( 2-0 @ 3.93% ( 3-1 @ 1.99% ( 3-2 @ 1.53% ( 3-0 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 1.73% Total : 24.42% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0-0 @ 8.01% ( 2-2 @ 4.62% ( Other @ 0.86% Total : 25.66% | 0-1 @ 12.29% ( 0-2 @ 9.43% ( 1-2 @ 9.34% ( 0-3 @ 4.82% ( 1-3 @ 4.77% ( 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0-4 @ 1.85% ( 1-4 @ 1.83% ( 2-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.32% Total : 49.91% |