League One

League One | Gameweek 21

Dec 21, 2024 at 3pm UK

Sixfields Stadium

Northampton
0 - 5
Charlton

McGeehan (36'), T (73')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Docherty (9', 68'), Campbell (13'), Leaburn (37'), Hylton (90+1')
Docherty (41'), Mitchell (50'), Maynard-Brewer (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Peterborough 3-0 Northampton
Tuesday, December 17 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Charlton Athletic

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Charlton 0-0 Mansfield
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.

Result
Northampton Town	Draw	Charlton Athletic
28.82% ( 0.07)	25.36% ( 0)	45.82% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 53.78% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.39% (

0.01)

49.6% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.37% (

0.01)

71.62% (

-0.02)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.64% (

0.06)

31.35% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.28% (

0.07)

67.71% (

-0.07)

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.35% (

-0.03)

21.65% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.22% (

-0.05)

54.77% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Northampton Town 28.82%

Charlton Athletic 45.81%

Draw 25.35%

Northampton Town	Draw	Charlton Athletic
1-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.86% Total : 28.82%	1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.35%	0-1 @ 10.38% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.22% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.7% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.05% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 45.81%