Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.