League One

League One | Gameweek 20

Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK

New York Stadium

Rotherham
3 - 0
Northampton

Clarke-Harris (3', 33'), Green (49')
Powell (55')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Hoskins (44'), Waghorn (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Rotherham United and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rotherham United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Rotherham 3-2 Tranmere
Tuesday, December 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Northampton Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Northampton 2-1 Peterborough
Monday, December 9 at 8pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 60.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 16.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.99%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.

Result
Rotherham United	Draw	Northampton Town
60.91% ( 0.01)	22.73% ( -0)	16.36% ( -0)

Both teams to score 46.01% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.06% (

0.01)

51.94% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.31% (

0.01)

73.69% (

-0.01)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.36% (

0.01)

16.64% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.52% (

0.01)

46.48% (

-0.01)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.19% (

44.81% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.22% (

80.78% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Rotherham United 60.91%

Northampton Town 16.36%

Draw 22.73%

Rotherham United	Draw	Northampton Town
1-0 @ 13.37% 2-0 @ 11.99% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.63% 3-0 @ 7.17% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.75% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.21% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.58% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.15% 4-2 @ 1.04% 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.79% Total : 60.91%	1-1 @ 10.73% 0-0 @ 7.46% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( 0) Other @ 0.68% Total : 22.73%	0-1 @ 5.99% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.31% 0-2 @ 2.4% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.15% 2-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.47% Total : 16.36%