League One Gameweek 20
Dec 14, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT New York Stadium
  • Jonson Clarke-Harris 3' goal
  • Jonson Clarke-Harris 33' goal
  • Andre Green 49' goal
  • Joe Powell 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sam Hoskins 44'
  • yellowcard Martyn Waghorn 72'

Rotherham United vs Northampton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Rotherham United

All competitions
Last game
Dec 3, 2024 8.15pm
Rotherham 2 - 1 Lincoln
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Sam Nombe

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last game
Dec 9, 2024 8.00pm
Northampton 2 - 1 Peterborough
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Cameron McGeehan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 60.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 16.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.99%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.

Result

Rotherham United 60.91% (+0.01)
Draw 22.73% (-0.01)
Northampton Town 16.36% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.01% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.06% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 51.94% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 26.31% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 73.69% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 12.2% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 87.8% (-0.01)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5 83.36% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 16.64% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 53.52% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 46.48% (-0.02)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5 55.19% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 44.81% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 19.22% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 80.78% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Rotherham United 60.91%
Draw 22.73%
Northampton Town 16.36%
Rotherham United
1-0 @ 13.37%
2-0 @ 11.99% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.63%
3-0 @ 7.17% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.75% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.21% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.58% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.31% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.15%
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 60.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.73%
0-0 @ 7.46% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.86% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 22.73%
Northampton Town
0-1 @ 5.99% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.31%
0-2 @ 2.4% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.15%
2-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 16.36%

Head to Head

League One
Mar 17, 2018 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Kevin van Veen 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jon Taylor 14'
  • goal Michael Smith 18'
  • yellowcard Semi Ajayi 37'
  • yellowcard Joe Mattock 59'
  • goal David Ball 62'
  • goal Richie Towell 81'
League One
Sep 30, 2017 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kieffer Moore 52' goal
  • Darren Potter 82' yellowcard
  • Michael Ihiekwe 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aaron Pierre 43'
League Two
Feb 2, 2013 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Daniel Nardiello 42' goal
  • Daniel Nardiello 43' yellowcard
  • Mark Bradley 63' yellowcard
  • Ben Pringle 75' goal
  • David Noble 79' goal
  • Jordan Slew 85' yellowcard
  • goal Clarke Carlisle 90'
League Two
Aug 21, 2012 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Chris Hackett 26' goal
  • Luke Guttridge 63' yellowcard
  • Alex Nicholls 86' goal
  • Adebayo Akinfenwa 87' yellowcard
  • Clive Platt 90' yellowcard
  • goal Ben Pringle 42'
League Two
May 5, 2012 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Alex Revell 31' goal
  • yellowcard Clarke Carlisle 81'
  • goal Adebayo Akinfenwa 90'
  • yellowcard Adebayo Akinfenwa 90'
League Two
Oct 29, 2011 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Conrad Logan 24' goal
  • Derek Niven 53' yellowcard
  • Ashley Westwood 90' yellowcard
  • goal Gareth Evans 2'
  • yellowcard Danny Schofield 36'
  • yellowcard Conrad Logan 90'