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League One | Gameweek 18
Dec 3, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
New York Stadium
Lincoln City

Rotherham
2 - 1
Lincoln

Nombe (21'), Raggett (77')
Jules (48'), Rafferty (56'), Odofin (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Makama (50')
Darikwa (60'), Erhahon (68'), Hackett (90+7'), Draper (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Rotherham United and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawLincoln City
37.63% (0.373 0.37)27.29% (-0.294 -0.29)35.07% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Both teams to score 49.93% (0.9 0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.42% (1.125 1.13)55.58% (-1.127 -1.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.25% (0.913 0.91)76.75% (-0.914 -0.91)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.45% (0.77 0.77)28.55% (-0.771 -0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.66% (0.953 0.95)64.34% (-0.95399999999999 -0.95)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.88% (0.50999999999999 0.51)30.12% (-0.511 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.74% (0.607 0.61)66.26% (-0.608 -0.61)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 37.63%
    Lincoln City 35.06%
    Draw 27.29%
Rotherham UnitedDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 10.77% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-1 @ 8.11% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.39% (0.116 0.12)
3-0 @ 2.82% (0.058 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.097 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 37.63%
1-1 @ 12.93% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 8.6% (-0.381 -0.38)
2-2 @ 4.86% (0.132 0.13)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.29%
0-1 @ 10.31% (-0.31 -0.31)
1-2 @ 7.76% (0.048 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.19% (-0.095 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.11% (0.063 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.08 0.08)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 35.06%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Lincoln

Rotherham United
20.0%
Draw
20.0%
Lincoln City
60.0%
55
Head to Head
Jul 29, 2023 3pm
Club Friendlies
Lincoln
0-3
Rotherham

(0')
Rathbone (45'), Cafu (48'), Hugill (60')
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Rotherham
2-1
Lincoln
Wiles (11'), Ogbene (13')
Rathbone (45+3'), Wood (70')
Hopper (81')
Hopper (49'), Walsh (82')
Sep 14, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Lincoln
1-1
Rotherham
Fiorini (55')
Jackson (66')
Smith (22')
Smith (56'), Mattock (71')
Feb 7, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Lincoln
0-1
Rotherham

Bolger (19'), Melbourne (42')
Crooks (47')
Smith (90')
Nov 12, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Lincoln
3-0
Rotherham
Akinde (12' pen., 14'), Walker (87')

Olosunde (87'), Price (93')