League One

League One | Gameweek 22

Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK

Select Car Leasing Stadium

Reading
4 - 1
Northampton

Knibbs (5'), Smith (28'), Savage (75'), Camara (87')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Eaves (81')
Eaves (45'), McGeehan (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Reading and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reading

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Lincoln 2-0 Reading
Saturday, December 21 at 12.30pm in League One

Goals
for

Northampton Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Northampton 0-5 Charlton
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 65.54%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 14.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result
Reading	Draw	Northampton Town
65.54% ( 0.06)	19.69% ( -0.03)	14.77% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 51.93% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.89% (

0.05)

42.1% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.49% (

0.05)

64.5% (

-0.06)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.96% (

0.03)

12.03% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.47% (

0.06)

37.52% (

-0.07)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.03% (

-0.02)

40.96% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.47% (

-0.02)

77.52% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Reading 65.53%

Northampton Town 14.77%

Draw 19.69%

Reading	Draw	Northampton Town
2-0 @ 11.05% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.96% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.55% Total : 65.53%	1-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.69%	0-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 1.7% Total : 14.77%