Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 48.77%. A win for Reading had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lincoln City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lincoln City.