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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 48.77%. A win for Reading had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lincoln City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lincoln City.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln City | Draw | Reading |
| 48.77% ( | 24.09% ( | 27.14% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.72% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.82% ( | 45.18% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.47% ( | 67.53% ( |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.38% ( | 18.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.08% ( | 49.92% ( |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.7% ( | 30.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.52% ( | 66.49% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lincoln City | Draw | Reading |
| 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 1-0 @ 9.49% ( 2-0 @ 7.97% ( 3-1 @ 5.33% ( 3-0 @ 4.47% ( 3-2 @ 3.18% ( 4-1 @ 2.24% ( 4-0 @ 1.88% ( 4-2 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 3.36% Total : 48.77% | 1-1 @ 11.32% ( 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0-0 @ 5.64% ( 3-3 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.08% | 1-2 @ 6.76% ( 0-1 @ 6.74% ( 0-2 @ 4.02% ( 1-3 @ 2.69% ( 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0-3 @ 1.6% ( Other @ 3.07% Total : 27.14% |