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League One | Gameweek 18
Dec 3, 2024 at 8pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Cambridge United

Reading
3 - 0
Cambridge

Wing (49', 63'), Camara (60')
Camara (9'), Elliott (56')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Monk (10'), Cousins (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Reading and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 61.11%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 17.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result
ReadingDrawCambridge United
61.11% (-0.828 -0.83)21.04% (0.575 0.57)17.85% (0.255 0.25)
Both teams to score 54.31% (-1.48 -1.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.61% (-2.198 -2.2)42.38% (2.2 2.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.21% (-2.232 -2.23)64.79% (2.234 2.23)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.61% (-0.926 -0.93)13.39% (0.928 0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.68% (-1.897 -1.9)40.31% (1.899 1.9)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.71% (-1.025 -1.03)37.29% (1.028 1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.92% (-1.025 -1.03)74.07% (1.028 1.03)
Score Analysis
    Reading 61.1%
    Cambridge United 17.85%
    Draw 21.04%
ReadingDrawCambridge United
2-0 @ 10.09% (0.292 0.29)
1-0 @ 10.03% (0.62 0.62)
2-1 @ 9.96% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.77% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.67% (-0.227 -0.23)
4-0 @ 3.4% (-0.141 -0.14)
4-1 @ 3.35% (-0.238 -0.24)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.209 -0.21)
4-2 @ 1.65% (-0.168 -0.17)
5-0 @ 1.37% (-0.108 -0.11)
5-1 @ 1.35% (-0.147 -0.15)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 61.1%
1-1 @ 9.9% (0.357 0.36)
0-0 @ 4.99% (0.474 0.47)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.04%
0-1 @ 4.93% (0.341 0.34)
1-2 @ 4.88% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.43% (0.104 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.61% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 17.85%

How you voted: Reading vs Cambridge

Reading
84.3%
Draw
9.8%
Cambridge United
5.9%
51
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 39
Reading
4-0
Cambridge
Smith (11'), Azeez (45+2'), Wing (62'), Ehibhaimha (85')

Bennett (84')
Sep 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 6
Cambridge
1-0
Reading
Okenabirhie (83')
Morrison (65')

Dean (27'), Hutchinson (68'), Yiadom (70'), Savage (75')