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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 38.29%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 38.29% ( | 26.97% ( | 34.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.9% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.66% ( | 54.34% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.27% ( | 75.72% ( |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.42% ( | 27.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.9% ( | 63.1% ( |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.28% ( | 29.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.22% ( | 65.78% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.55% 2-1 @ 8.25% ( 2-0 @ 6.8% ( 3-1 @ 3.54% ( 3-0 @ 2.92% ( 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 4-1 @ 1.14% ( 4-0 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 1.99% Total : 38.29% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0-0 @ 8.2% ( 2-2 @ 5.01% ( Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.97% | 0-1 @ 9.94% ( 1-2 @ 7.77% 0-2 @ 6.03% ( 1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0-3 @ 2.44% ( 2-3 @ 2.03% ( 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.42% Total : 34.73% |