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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 36.53%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambridge United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cambridge United | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 36.53% ( | 27.71% ( | 35.76% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.68% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.85% ( | 57.16% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.98% ( | 78.02% ( |
| Cambridge United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.01% ( | 29.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.89% ( | 66.11% ( |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.54% ( | 30.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.33% ( | 66.67% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambridge United | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 1-0 @ 11% ( 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 2-0 @ 6.63% ( 3-1 @ 3.16% ( 3-0 @ 2.66% ( 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 4-1 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.37% Total : 36.52% | 1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 9.14% ( 2-2 @ 4.68% ( Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.7% | 0-1 @ 10.85% ( 1-2 @ 7.77% ( 0-2 @ 6.45% ( 1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0-3 @ 2.56% ( 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 1-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.27% Total : 35.76% |