/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Flinlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fstelog.png)
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Lewis Montsma
10'
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Tendayi Darikwa
54'
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Dan Kemp
84'
Lincoln City vs Stevenage - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F34%2Falex-revell.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (11.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result
Lincoln City
40.12%
▲
(+0.78)
Draw
29.02%
▼
(-0.10)
Stevenage
30.86%
▼
(-0.69)
Both Teams to Score:
44.08%
▲
(+0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5
37.56%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 2.5
62.43%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 3.5
17.94%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 3.5
82.05%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 4.5
7.18%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 4.5
92.82%
▼
(-0.06)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5
69.54%
▲
(+0.53)
Under 0.5
30.46%
▼
(-0.54)
Over 1.5
33.33%
▲
(+0.63)
Under 1.5
66.66%
▼
(-0.63)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5
63.39%
▼
(-0.44)
Under 0.5
36.6%
▲
(+0.44)
Over 1.5
26.6%
▼
(-0.44)
Under 1.5
73.39%
▲
(+0.44)
Score analysis
Lincoln City
40.11%
Draw
29.01%
Stevenage
30.86%
Lincoln City
1-0
@
13.25%
▲
(+0.12)
2-1 @ 7.92% ▲ (+0.10)
2-0 @ 7.88% ▲ (+0.19)
3-1 @ 3.14% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.12)
3-2 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 40.11%
2-1 @ 7.92% ▲ (+0.10)
2-0 @ 7.88% ▲ (+0.19)
3-1 @ 3.14% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.12)
3-2 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 40.11%
Draw
1-1
@
13.32%
▼
(-0.03)
0-0 @ 11.14% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 29.01%
0-0 @ 11.14% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 29.01%
Stevenage
0-1
@
11.2%
▼
(-0.20)
1-2 @ 6.69% ▼ (-0.10)
0-2 @ 5.63% ▼ (-0.17)
1-3 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 30.86%
1-2 @ 6.69% ▼ (-0.10)
0-2 @ 5.63% ▼ (-0.17)
1-3 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 30.86%
Jack Moylan
71'
Paudie O'Connor
90'+10'