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Championship header 2

League One

Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 25
Jan 4, 2025 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Stevenage

Lincoln
0 - 0
Stevenage


Montsma (10'), Darikwa (54')
FT

Kemp (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-1 Rotherham
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

Stevenage

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Northampton 0-0 Stevenage
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (11.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawStevenage
40.12% (0.772 0.77)29.02% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)30.86% (-0.683 -0.68)
Both teams to score 44.08% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.56% (0.143 0.14)62.43% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.94% (0.103 0.1)82.05% (-0.107 -0.11)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.54% (0.52800000000001 0.53)30.46% (-0.532 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.33% (0.624 0.62)66.66% (-0.628 -0.63)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.39% (-0.434 -0.43)36.6% (0.431 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.6% (-0.438 -0.44)73.39% (0.434 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 40.11%
    Stevenage 30.86%
    Draw 29.01%
Lincoln CityDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 13.25% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 7.92% (0.095 0.09)
2-0 @ 7.88% (0.185 0.19)
3-1 @ 3.14% (0.083 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.12% (0.118 0.12)
3-2 @ 1.58% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 0.93% (0.038 0.04)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 40.11%
1-1 @ 13.32% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 11.14% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.98% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 29.01%
0-1 @ 11.2% (-0.19 -0.19)
1-2 @ 6.69% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-2 @ 5.63% (-0.165 -0.17)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.89% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 30.86%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Stevenage

Lincoln City
66.7%
Draw
0.0%
Stevenage
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Stevenage
0-1
Lincoln

Smith (48'), Aboh (84'), Piergianni (90+11')
Moylan (71' pen.)
House (32'), Erhahon (44'), O'Connor (66'), Draper (90')
O'Connor (90+10')
> Preview
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 36
Lincoln
0-0
Stevenage
House (33'), Erhahon (36')
Reid (27'), Evans (28'), Vancooten (75'), Freeman (90+5')
> Preview
Nov 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 18
Stevenage
1-0
Lincoln
Reid (68')
Piergianni (28'), Evans (29')

Skubala (0'), Jackson (81')
> Preview
Feb 16, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 33
Lincoln
2-2
Stevenage
Andrade (48', 71')
Bolger (51'), Akinde (88'), Toffolo (89')
Chair (87', 94')
Wildin (89')
Dec 8, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 21
Stevenage
0-1
Lincoln
Akinde (11' pen.)
Akinde (45')