League One

League One | Gameweek 23

Dec 29, 2024 at 3pm UK

University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
3 - 0
Lincoln

Collins (37'), Matete (50', 66')

FT(HT: 1-0)

McGrandles (18'), House (23'), O'Connor (44'), Erhahon (45+1')
Erhahon (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Bolton 1-2 Barnsley
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Lincoln City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-0 Lincoln
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Lincoln City
43.57%	24.95% ( 0)	31.49% ( -0)

Both teams to score 56.59% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.4% (

-0.02)

46.6% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.13% (

-0.02)

68.87% (

0.02)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.59% (

-0.01)

21.41% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.58% (

-0.02)

54.42% (

0.02)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.01% (

-0.01)

27.99% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.37% (

-0.02)

63.63% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 43.57%

Lincoln City 31.49%

Draw 24.95%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Lincoln City
1-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.12% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.66% 3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.41% 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 43.57%	1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.95%	0-1 @ 7.63% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.49% 0-2 @ 4.86% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.06% 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 31.49%