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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.16%) and 2-1 (7.9%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (11.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wrexham | Draw | Stevenage |
| 40.89% ( | 29.27% ( | 29.84% ( |
| Both teams to score 43.08% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.5% ( | 63.5% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.17% ( | 82.82% ( |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.46% ( | 30.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.24% ( | 66.76% ( |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.02% ( | 37.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.25% ( | 74.74% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wrexham | Draw | Stevenage |
| 1-0 @ 13.75% ( 2-0 @ 8.16% ( 2-1 @ 7.9% ( 3-0 @ 3.23% ( 3-1 @ 3.12% ( 3-2 @ 1.51% ( 4-0 @ 0.96% ( 4-1 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 1.33% Total : 40.88% | 1-1 @ 13.31% 0-0 @ 11.59% ( 2-2 @ 3.82% ( Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.25% | 0-1 @ 11.22% 1-2 @ 6.45% ( 0-2 @ 5.44% ( 1-3 @ 2.08% ( 0-3 @ 1.75% ( 2-3 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 1.66% Total : 29.84% |