Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 50.94%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 23.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.89%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.