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Wrexham AFC
League One | Gameweek 25
Jan 4, 2025 at 3pm UK
SToK Cae Ras
Peterborough United

Wrexham
1 - 0
Peterborough

Fletcher (87')
Fletcher (88'), Dobson (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Fernandez (36'), Fernandez (36'), Ihionvien (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Wrexham and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 44.11%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawPeterborough United
44.11% (0.497 0.5)24.31% (-0.19 -0.19)31.57% (-0.31 -0.31)
Both teams to score 58.85% (0.528 0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.33% (0.752 0.75)43.66% (-0.756 -0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.94% (0.735 0.73)66.05% (-0.73699999999999 -0.74)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.05% (0.529 0.53)19.94% (-0.532 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.89% (0.847 0.85)52.1% (-0.85 -0.85)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.51% (0.173 0.17)26.48% (-0.175 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.32% (0.232 0.23)61.67% (-0.23500000000001 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 44.11%
    Peterborough United 31.57%
    Draw 24.3%
WrexhamDrawPeterborough United
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.045 0.04)
1-0 @ 8.52% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-0 @ 6.87%
3-1 @ 4.9% (0.103 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.69% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.26% (0.085 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.98% (0.073 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.49% (0.048 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.055 0.06)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 44.11%
1-1 @ 11.31% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 6.06% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.28% (-0.177 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.44% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.3%
1-2 @ 7.52% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-1 @ 7.02% (-0.199 -0.2)
0-2 @ 4.66% (-0.108 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.33% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.68% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.07% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 31.57%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Peterborough

Wrexham
79.3%
Draw
20.7%
Peterborough United
0.0%
29
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Peterborough
0-2
Wrexham

Sparkes (47')
Marriott (28'), Cleworth (39')
Palmer (45+1'), Mullin (88')
Feb 26, 2008 3pm
Feb 9, 2008 3pm
Peterborough
0-0
Wrexham
Gnakpa (23'), Westwood (74'), Lee (83'), Morgan (89')
Evans (73'), Broughton (74'), Roberts (80')
Feb 10, 2007 3pm
Peterborough
3-0
Wrexham
Boyd (53'), McLean (23'), Evans (82' og.)

Jones (57'), Williams (65'), Garrett (87')
Aug 12, 2006 3pm
Wrexham
0-0
Peterborough
Valentine (53')
Plummer (41'), Branston (66')
rhs 2.0


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