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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 44.11%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wrexham | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 44.11% ( | 24.31% ( | 31.57% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.85% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.33% ( | 43.66% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.94% ( | 66.05% ( |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.05% ( | 19.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.89% ( | 52.1% ( |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.51% ( | 26.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.32% ( | 61.67% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wrexham | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 1-0 @ 8.52% ( 2-0 @ 6.87% 3-1 @ 4.9% ( 3-0 @ 3.69% ( 3-2 @ 3.26% ( 4-1 @ 1.98% ( 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 4-2 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 2.99% Total : 44.11% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( 2-2 @ 6.06% ( 0-0 @ 5.28% ( 3-3 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.3% | 1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0-2 @ 4.66% ( 1-3 @ 3.33% ( 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0-3 @ 2.07% ( 1-4 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 3.19% Total : 31.57% |