Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 44.11%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.