League One

League One | Gameweek 24

Jan 1, 2025 at 3pm UK

Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
2 - 2
Peterborough

Chauke (6'), Burrell (26')
Crocombe (77'), Willis (78'), Kalinauskas (87')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Collins (42'), Fernandez (77')
Conn (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Huddersfield 1-1 Burton Albion
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Peterborough United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Peterborough 1-3 Barnsley
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 49.71%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 26.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Peterborough United
26.01% ( 0.22)	24.28% ( 0.02)	49.71% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 55.07% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.11% (

0.11)

46.89% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.86% (

0.1)

69.14% (

-0.1)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.92% (

0.23)

32.08% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.44% (

0.27)

68.55% (

-0.27)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.09% (

-0.05)

18.91% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.59% (

-0.09)

50.41% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 26.01%

Peterborough United 49.7%

Draw 24.27%

Burton Albion	Draw	Peterborough United
1-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.64% Total : 26.01%	1-1 @ 11.48% 0-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.27%	0-1 @ 10.1% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.57% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.41% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 5.31% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.67% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 3.21% Total : 49.7%