Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 49.71%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 26.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.