League One

League One | Gameweek 22

Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK

St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham
2 - 0
Burton Albion

Stansfield (26' pen.), Crocombe (56' og.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Godwin-Malife (45+1'), Crocombe (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Crawley 0-1 Birmingham
Monday, December 23 at 8.15pm in League One

Goals
for

Burton Albion

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Exeter
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 73.27%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 10.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.94%) and 3-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.78%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Birmingham City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Birmingham City.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	Burton Albion
73.27% ( -0.03)	16.43% ( -0.06)	10.29% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 49.35% (

0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.69% (

0.56)

38.31% (

-0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.4% (

0.6)

60.59% (

-0.6)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.95% (

0.13)

9.05% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.21% (

0.32)

30.79% (

-0.32)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.26% (

0.55)

45.74% (

-0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.48% (

0.43)

81.52% (

-0.43)

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 73.27%

Burton Albion 10.29%

Draw 16.43%

Birmingham City	Draw	Burton Albion
2-0 @ 11.94% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.05) 6-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.04% Total : 73.27%	1-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.86% Total : 16.43%	0-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.79% Total : 10.29%