League One Gameweek 22
Birmingham
Dec 26, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
Burton Albion
  • Jay Stansfield 26' goal
  • Max Crocombe 56' goal
  • yellowcard Udoka Godwin-Malife 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Max Crocombe 48'

Birmingham City vs Burton Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Dec 23, 2024 8.15pm
Crawley 0 - 1 Birmingham
Goals scored
84
Top scorer
Jay Stansfield

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Dec 21, 2024 3.00pm
Burton Albion 1 - 2 Exeter
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Rumarn Burrell

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 73.27%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 10.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.94%) and 3-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.78%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Birmingham City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Birmingham City.

Result

Birmingham City 73.27% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 16.43% ▼ (-0.06)
Burton Albion 10.29% ▲ (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.35% ▲ (+0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.69% ▲ (+0.57)
Under 2.5 38.31% ▼ (-0.57)
Over 3.5 39.4% ▲ (+0.60)
Under 3.5 60.59% ▼ (-0.60)
Over 4.5 21.66% ▲ (+0.48)
Under 4.5 78.33% ▼ (-0.48)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 90.95% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 0.5 9.05% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 1.5 69.21% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 1.5 30.79% ▼ (-0.33)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5 54.26% ▲ (+0.56)
Under 0.5 45.74% ▼ (-0.56)
Over 1.5 18.48% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 1.5 81.52% ▼ (-0.44)

Score analysis

Birmingham City 73.27%
Draw 16.43%
Burton Albion 10.29%
Birmingham City
2-0 @ 11.94% ▼ (-0.18)
1-0 @ 9.94% ▼ (-0.21)
3-0 @ 9.57% ▼ (-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.34% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.48% ▲ (+0.06)
4-0 @ 5.75% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.93% ▲ (+0.07)
5-0 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.76% ▲ (+0.06)
6-0 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 73.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.78% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.14% ▼ (-0.12)
2-2 @ 3.65% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 16.43%
Burton Albion
0-1 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.04)
1-2 @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 10.29%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 1
Burton Albion
Jul 16, 2022 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Birmingham
  • Thomas Hamer 74' goal
  • goal George Hall 37'
  • goal Sam Cosgrove 87'
Championship
Birmingham
Apr 7, 2018 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Burton Albion
  • Maikel Kieftenbeld 56' yellowcard
  • David Davis 58' yellowcard
  • Lukas Jutkiewicz 87' goal
  • goal Lloyd Dyer 48'
  • yellowcard Tom Naylor 50'
  • yellowcard Darren Bent 60'
FA Cup
Birmingham
Jan 6, 2018 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Burton Albion
  • Maikel Kieftenbeld 37' yellowcard
  • Sam Gallagher 56' goal
  • Jonathan Grounds 67' yellowcard
  • David Davis 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard John Brayford 65'
  • yellowcard Ben Turner 75'
  • yellowcard Marvin Sordell 83'
Championship
Burton Albion
Aug 18, 2017 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Birmingham
  • Marvin Sordell 50' goal
  • Lloyd Dyer 66' goal
  • Stephen Bywater 90' yellowcard
  • goal Jacques Maghoma 29'
Championship
Birmingham
Apr 17, 2017 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Burton Albion
  • Cheick Keita 49' yellowcard
  • Che Adams 66' yellowcard
  • goal Lloyd Dyer 36'
  • goal Lucas Akins 52'
  • yellowcard Jackson Irvine 65'
Championship
Burton Albion
Oct 21, 2016 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Birmingham
  • Lucas Akins 29' yellowcard
  • Lucas Akins 32' goal
  • Tom Naylor 41' yellowcard
  • Jackson Irvine 45' yellowcard
  • Jamie Ward 62' goal
  • yellowcard Jacques Maghoma 36'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Grounds 63'
  • yellowcard Ryan Shotton 70'

Form Data

Crawley 0 - 1 Birmingham
Birmingham 2 - 0 Bristol Rovers
Exeter 1 - 2 Birmingham
Barnsley 1 - 2 Birmingham
Birmingham 2 - 0 Stockport
Blackpool 1 - 2 Birmingham
Burton Albion 1 - 2 Exeter
Leyton Orient 0 - 0 Burton Albion
Burton Albion 0 - 4 Stevenage
Burton Albion 0 - 1 Wrexham
Peterborough 0 - 1 Burton Albion
Burton Albion 1 - 1 Tamworth