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League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 23, 2025 at 8pm UK
SToK Cae Ras
Birmingham logo

Wrexham
1 - 1
Birmingham

Rathbone (9')
Rathbone (69')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dykes (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Wrexham and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shrewsbury 2-1 Wrexham
Thursday, January 16 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 1-0 Exeter
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wrexham 1-1 Birmingham City

Unbeaten at their home pitch in League One this season, Wrexham are unlikely to be seriously fazed by the arrival of the league leaders on Thursday night. Without key midfielders and attackers, Birmingham might need to hold on at times in North Wales, although they should be good enough for a share of the points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 44.63%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawBirmingham City
28.93% (-0.307 -0.31) 26.44% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 44.63% (0.27 0.27)
Both teams to score 50.51% (-0.29 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.1% (-0.291 -0.29)53.9% (0.295 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.64% (-0.245 -0.25)75.36% (0.24900000000001 0.25)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.49% (-0.38200000000001 -0.38)33.51% (0.385 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.85% (-0.423 -0.42)70.15% (0.42700000000001 0.43)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.96% (0.0049999999999955 0)24.04% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.69% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)58.31%
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 28.93%
    Birmingham City 44.63%
    Draw 26.43%
WrexhamDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 8.81% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.86% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-0 @ 4.82% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.5% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.76% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 28.93%
1-1 @ 12.55% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.06% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 11.48% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 8.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.18% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
1-3 @ 4.25% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.89% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.52% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.39% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 44.63%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Birmingham

Wrexham
39.7%
Draw
28.6%
Birmingham City
31.7%
63
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 6
Birmingham
3-1
Wrexham
Stansfield (22', 52'), Iwata (59')
Klarer (36'), Gardner-Hickman (54'), Bielik (81'), Anderson (82')
Bielik (86')
Marriott (3')
Cannon (81'), McClean (81'), Mullin (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham28206250193166
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport31159747301754
5Charlton AthleticCharlton30148840291150
6Huddersfield TownHuddersfield29147841261549
7Leyton Orient291451043251847
8Bolton WanderersBolton30145114746147
9Reading30137104442246
10Barnsley30127114241143
11Blackpool3091384241140
12Lincoln CityLincoln301010103635140
13Stevenage29117112830-240
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham30108123435-138
15Mansfield TownMansfield29114143538-337
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Northampton TownNorthampton3089132945-1633
18Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
19Bristol Rovers2995152945-1632
20Peterborough UnitedPeterborough3086164657-1130
21Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3076173150-1927
22Crawley TownCrawley2976163353-2027
23Burton Albion30511143145-1426
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge3058173055-2523


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