League One

League One | Gameweek 28

Jan 23, 2025 at 8pm UK

SToK Cae Ras

Wrexham
1 - 1
Birmingham

Rathbone (9')
Rathbone (69')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Dykes (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Wrexham and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions

Last Game: Shrewsbury 2-1 Wrexham
Thursday, January 16 at 8pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Birmingham City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Birmingham 1-0 Exeter
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 44.63%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Wrexham	Draw	Birmingham City
28.93% ( -0.31)	26.44% ( 0.04)	44.63% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 50.51% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.1% (

-0.29)

53.9% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.64% (

-0.25)

75.36% (

0.25)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.49% (

-0.38)

33.51% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.85% (

-0.42)

70.15% (

0.43)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.96% (

24.04% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.69% (

0.01)

58.31%

Score Analysis

Wrexham 28.93%

Birmingham City 44.63%

Draw 26.43%

Wrexham	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.86% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.41% Total : 28.93%	1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.43%	0-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.18% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 4.25% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.65% Total : 44.63%