League One Gameweek 28
Jan 23, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT SToK Cae Ras
  • Oliver Rathbone 9' goal
  • Oliver Rathbone 69' yellowcard
  • goal Lyndon Dykes 19'

Wrexham vs Birmingham City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
Last game
Jan 16, 2025 8.00pm
Shrewsbury 2 - 1 Wrexham
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Elliot Lee

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Jan 18, 2025 3.00pm
Birmingham 1 - 0 Exeter
Goals scored
84
Top scorer
Jay Stansfield

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 44.63%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

Wrexham 28.93% (-0.31)
Draw 26.44% (+0.04)
Birmingham City 44.63% (+0.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.51% (-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.1% (-0.30)
Under 2.5 53.9% (+0.30)
Over 3.5 24.64% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 75.36% (+0.25)
Over 4.5 11.13% (-0.16)
Under 4.5 88.87% (+0.16)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5 66.49% (-0.39)
Under 0.5 33.51% (+0.39)
Over 1.5 29.85% (-0.43)
Under 1.5 70.15% (+0.43)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 75.96% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 24.04% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 41.69% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 58.31%

Score analysis

Wrexham 28.93%
Draw 26.43%
Birmingham City 44.63%
Wrexham
1-0 @ 8.81% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 6.86% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 4.82% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 2.5% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 1.76% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 28.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.55% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 8.06% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.43%
Birmingham City
0-1 @ 11.48% (+0.14)
1-2 @ 8.95% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.18% (+0.10)
1-3 @ 4.25% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.89% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.52% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.39% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 44.63%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 6
Sep 16, 2024 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Jay Stansfield 22' goal
  • Christoph Klarer 36' yellowcard
  • Jay Stansfield 52' goal
  • Taylor Gardner-Hickman 54' yellowcard
  • Tomoki Iwata 59' goal
  • Krystian Bielik 81' yellowcard
  • Keshi Anderson 82' yellowcard
  • Krystian Bielik 86' redcard
  • goal Jack Marriott 3'
  • yellowcard Andy Cannon 81'
  • yellowcard James McClean 81'
  • yellowcard Paul Mullin 82'